Archer Daniels Midland Stock Analysis

ADM Stock  USD 53.19  0.17  0.32%   
Archer Daniels Midland is undervalued with Real Value of 64.46 and Target Price of 96.62. The main objective of Archer Daniels stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Archer Daniels Midland is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Archer Daniels' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Archer Daniels stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Archer Daniels is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Archer Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Archer Daniels Midland. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Archer Stock Analysis Notes

About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Archer Daniels Midland last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2024. The entity had 105:100 split on the 30th of August 2001. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company procures, transports, stores, processes, and merchandises agricultural commodities, products, and ingredients in the United States, Switzerland, Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Archer Daniels operates under Farm Products classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 218 people. For more info on Archer Daniels Midland please contact Juan Luciano at 312 634 8100 or go to https://www.adm.com.

Archer Daniels Quarterly Total Revenue

19.94 Billion

Archer Daniels Midland Investment Alerts

Archer Daniels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
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Archer Daniels Midland Upcoming and Recent Events

25th of January 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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23rd of April 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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25th of January 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Archer Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Archer Daniels' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
1999-07-16
1999-06-300.050.060.0120 
2001-01-19
2000-12-310.170.190.0211 
2000-07-21
2000-06-300.170.190.0211 
View All Earnings Estimates

Archer Daniels Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Archer Daniels' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Archer Daniels' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Archer Daniels' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Archer Daniels' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Archer Daniels Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Archer Daniels stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Power Assets Idea
Power Assets
High potential, large capitalization stocks theme
Millennials Best Idea
Millennials Best
Firms that are involved in making products or providing services to millennials
Food Products Idea
Food Products
USA Equities from Food Products industry as classified by Fama & French

Archer Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
4.8 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
4.4 M
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
3.6 M
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-06-30
3.5 M
Moneta Group Investment Advisors Inc2024-06-30
3.2 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
3.2 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
3.1 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
61.7 M
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co2024-09-30
46.8 M
Note, although Archer Daniels' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Archer Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 25.61 B.

Archer Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.03 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.02 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.02 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.11  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.14  0.08 

Management Efficiency

Archer Daniels Midland has Return on Asset of 0.0342 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0342 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1075 %, implying that it generated $0.1075 on every 100 dollars invested. Archer Daniels' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Archer Daniels manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to 0.05. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to 0.06. At this time, Archer Daniels' Non Currrent Assets Other are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Other Current Assets is likely to grow to about 6.2 B, while Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop about 12.9 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 45.22  47.48 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 33.50  35.18 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 7.88  8.39 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.62  1.64 
Enterprise Value Multiple 7.88  8.39 
Price Fair Value 1.62  1.64 
Enterprise Value28.6 B30 B
Management at Archer Daniels Midland focuses on leveraging technology and optimizing operations. We evaluate the impact of these focuses on the company's financial health and stock performance.
Dividend Yield
0.0379
Operating Margin
0.0222
Profit Margin
0.0293
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0379
Beta
0.722

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, Archer Daniels shows the mean deviation of 1.09, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06). Archer Daniels Midland technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Archer Daniels Midland information ratio, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and value at risk to decide if Archer Daniels Midland is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 53.19 per share. Given that Archer Daniels has information ratio of (0.15), we suggest you to validate Archer Daniels Midland's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Archer Daniels Midland Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Archer Daniels middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Archer Daniels Midland. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Archer Daniels Midland Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Archer Daniels insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Archer Daniels' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Archer Daniels insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Archer Daniels Outstanding Bonds

Archer Daniels issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Archer Daniels Midland uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Archer bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Archer Daniels Midland has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Archer Daniels Predictive Daily Indicators

Archer Daniels intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Archer Daniels stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Archer Daniels Corporate Filings

10K
18th of November 2024
An amendment to a previously filed Form 10-K
ViewVerify
13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F3
7th of November 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
6th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
5th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
4th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Archer Daniels Forecast Models

Archer Daniels' time-series forecasting models are one of many Archer Daniels' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Archer Daniels' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Archer Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Archer Daniels prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Archer shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Archer Daniels. By using and applying Archer Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Archer entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.05  0.05 
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Gross Profit Margin 0.08  0.10 

Current Archer Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Archer analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Archer analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
96.62Hold11Odds
Archer Daniels Midland current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Archer analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Archer stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Archer Daniels Midland, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Archer conference calls.
Archer Analyst Advice Details

Archer Stock Analysis Indicators

Archer Daniels Midland stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Archer Daniels stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Archer Daniels shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Archer Daniels stock analysis, traders can identify Archer Daniels position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash FlowB
Long Term Debt8.3 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding542 M
Total Stockholder Equity24.1 B
Tax Provision828 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.424
Property Plant And Equipment Net11.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments5.4 B
Cash1.4 B
Accounts Payable6.3 B
Net Debt8.2 B
50 Day M A56.8696
Total Current Liabilities18.7 B
Other Operating Expenses89.9 B
Non Current Assets Total24.9 B
Forward Price Earnings10.8108
Non Currrent Assets Other866 M
Stock Based Compensation112 M
When determining whether Archer Daniels Midland is a strong investment it is important to analyze Archer Daniels' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Archer Daniels' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Archer Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Archer Daniels Midland. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Daniels. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archer Daniels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.42)
Earnings Share
3.56
Revenue Per Share
171.202
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
0.0342
The market value of Archer Daniels Midland is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archer Daniels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archer Daniels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archer Daniels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archer Daniels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Archer Daniels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Archer Daniels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archer Daniels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.