Archer Daniels Midland Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ADM Stock | USD 51.67 0.01 0.02% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Archer Daniels Midland is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Archer Daniels' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Archer Daniels Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Archer and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Archer Daniels Midland. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
Archer |
Execute Archer Daniels Buy or Sell Advice
The Archer recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Archer Daniels Midland. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Archer Daniels Midland or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Archer Daniels' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Archer Daniels Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Archer Daniels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 12th of December 2024 Archer Daniels paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Acquisition by Debra Sandler of 1020 shares of Archer Daniels subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Archer Daniels Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Archer Daniels' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Archer Daniels' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Archer Daniels daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Archer Daniels Midland price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Archer Daniels returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Archer Daniels.
| Mean Return | -0.1 | Value At Risk | -2.63 | Potential Upside | 2.25 | Standard Deviation | 1.52 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Archer Daniels historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Archer Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Archer Daniels, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Archer Daniels Midland back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5.3 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 4 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-09-30 | 3.9 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.6 M | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 3.5 M | Moneta Group Investment Advisors Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.2 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-09-30 | 3 M | Proshare Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.9 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 2.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 61.7 M | State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co | 2024-09-30 | 46.8 M |
Archer Daniels Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (2.4B) | (2.8B) | (295M) | 2.9B | 3.3B | 3.5B | |
| Change In Cash | 1.7B | 2.8B | (421M) | (1.6B) | (1.9B) | (1.8B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (3.2B) | 5.4B | 2.2B | 3.0B | 3.4B | 3.6B | |
| Depreciation | 976M | 996M | 1.0B | 1.1B | 1.2B | 756.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 145M | 178M | (184M) | 96M | 86.4M | 90.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 809M | 834M | 899M | 977M | (977M) | (928.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 823M | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.7B | 962.4M | |
| Net Income | 1.8B | 2.7B | 4.4B | 3.5B | 4.0B | 4.2B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 4.6B | 7.5B | 7.0B | 5.4B | 6.2B | 6.5B | |
| Investments | 4.6B | (33M) | (1.4B) | (1.5B) | (1.7B) | (1.6B) | |
| Change Receivables | 287M | (149M) | (578M) | (1.7B) | (1.5B) | (1.4B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 301M | 492M | (290M) | (158M) | (181.7M) | (172.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (109M) | 278M | 236M | (184M) | (165.6M) | (157.3M) |
Archer Daniels Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Archer Daniels or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Archer Daniels' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Archer stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Archer Daniels Volatility Alert
Archer Daniels Midland exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.79 and kurtosis of 2.48. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Archer Daniels' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Archer Daniels' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Archer Daniels Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Archer Daniels' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Archer Daniels' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Archer Daniels and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Archer Daniels or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Archer Daniels' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Archer Daniels by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Archer Daniels to competition |
| Fundamentals | Archer Daniels | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0342 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 35.29 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 478.53 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.58 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.00 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 7.27 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.30 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.12 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.28 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 93.94 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 6.61 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 6.01 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 3.48 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.04 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.19 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 9.6 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.40 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.51 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 47.04 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 4.46 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.05 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.56 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 16.43 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 54.55 | |
| Number Of Employees | 40.21 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.72 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 24.72 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 54.63 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 23.46 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 11.11 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 6017 shares by Michael Burke of Archer Daniels at 50.71 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Archer Daniels Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Archer . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 28541.19 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0161 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 51.69 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 51.68 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
About Archer Daniels Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Archer Daniels Midland? Buying financial instruments such as Archer Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Precious Metals theme has 61 constituents at this time.
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Check out Archer Daniels Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Daniels. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archer Daniels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | Earnings Share 3.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Archer Daniels Midland is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archer Daniels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archer Daniels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archer Daniels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archer Daniels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Archer Daniels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Archer Daniels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archer Daniels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.