Alector Stock Performance
| ALEC Stock | USD 1.91 0.04 2.05% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Alector holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.64, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alector's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alector is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Alector's semi deviation, jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Alector's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Alector are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Alector exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1 | Acquisition by Arnon Rosenthal of 522500 shares of Alector at 1.31 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/10/2025 |
2 | O2 Investment Partners Announces Appointment of Alec Norman | 11/11/2025 |
3 | Is Alector Inc. stock a safe buy pre earnings - Portfolio Value Report Reliable Price Breakout Alerts - newser.com | 11/14/2025 |
4 | ALEC Investors Have Opportunity to Join Alector, Inc. Fraud Investigation with the Schall Law Firm | 11/19/2025 |
5 | Disposition of 37261 shares by Berkley Neil Lindsay of Alector at 1.1196 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/03/2025 |
6 | Alector Appoints Neil Berkley as Chief Financial Officer and Chief Business Officer | 12/12/2025 |
7 | Alector Trading 4.8 percent Higher - Heres Why - MarketBeat | 12/29/2025 |
8 | Theres No Escaping Alector, Inc.s Muted Revenues Despite A 32 percent Share Price Rise | 01/22/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 76.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 107.1 M |
Alector Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 144.00 in Alector on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 47.00 from holding Alector or generate 32.64% return on investment over 90 days. Alector is currently generating 0.5488% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.9477% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of stocks are less volatile than Alector, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Alector Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Alector Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.91 | 90 days | 1.91 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alector to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Alector probability density function shows the probability of Alector Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alector has a beta of 0.64. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alector average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alector will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alector has an alpha of 0.4276, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alector Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alector
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alector. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alector's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alector Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alector is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alector's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alector, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alector within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Alector Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alector for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alector can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alector may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Alector appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 100.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (119.05 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (116.89 M). | |
| Alector currently holds about 808.85 M in cash with (229.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.8, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Theres No Escaping Alector, Inc.s Muted Revenues Despite A 32 percent Share Price Rise |
Alector Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alector Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alector's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alector's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 413.4 M |
Alector Fundamentals Growth
Alector Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alector, and Alector fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alector Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -1.22 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.18 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (1.56) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (11.54) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | (45.3 M) | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 109.15 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 21.35 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.60 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.02 X | ||||
| Revenue | 100.56 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | (116.89 M) | ||||
| EBITDA | (136.16 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (119.05 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 808.85 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 9.80 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 42.52 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.16 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 5.53 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.54 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (229.91 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.06) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 208.48 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 468.3 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (829.13 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 299.76 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 323.42 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 52.71 M | ||||
About Alector Performance
By analyzing Alector's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Alector's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Alector has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Alector has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.23) | (0.24) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.49) | (0.51) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.23) | (0.24) | |
| Return On Equity | (1.08) | (1.03) |
Things to note about Alector performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alector for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alector help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alector may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Alector appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 100.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (119.05 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (116.89 M). | |
| Alector currently holds about 808.85 M in cash with (229.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.8, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Theres No Escaping Alector, Inc.s Muted Revenues Despite A 32 percent Share Price Rise |
- Analyzing Alector's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alector's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Alector's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Alector's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alector's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alector's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alector's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Alector Stock analysis
When running Alector's price analysis, check to measure Alector's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alector is operating at the current time. Most of Alector's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alector's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alector's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alector to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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