Alector Valuation

ALEC Stock  USD 1.89  0.02  1.05%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be overvalued. Alector shows a prevailing Real Value of $1.72 per share. The current price of the firm is $1.89. Our model approximates the value of Alector from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of (1.56) %, and Return On Equity of -1.22 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Alector's valuation include:
Price Book
3.5935
Enterprise Value
-44.8 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(8.40)
Price Sales
2.9877
Forward PE
8.4674
Overvalued
Today
1.89
Please note that Alector's price fluctuation is very risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alector is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alector's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Alector is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alector Stock. However, Alector's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1.89 Real  1.72 Target  2.1 Hype  1.89 Naive  1.83
The real value of Alector Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Alector Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Alector's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Alector's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
1.72
Real Value
5.61
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alector helps investors to forecast how Alector stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alector more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alector's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.45-0.41-0.38
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.895.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.041.835.72
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
1.912.102.33
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Alector's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Alector's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Alector's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Alector we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Alector Cash

36.08 Million

Alector Total Value Analysis

Alector is presently forecasted to have valuation of (44.75 M) with market capitalization of 206.3 M, debt of 42.52 M, and cash on hands of 808.85 M. The negative valuation of Alector may imply that the market is not capable to price the future growth of the company or it is pricing it at zero value. It may also suggest that takeover valuation may not have captured all of the outstanding financial obligations of the company both on and off balance sheet. Investors should vigilantly validate all of the Alector fundamentals.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
(44.75 M)
206.3 M
42.52 M
808.85 M

Alector Investor Information

About 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Alector was presently reported as 0.54. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.45. Alector recorded a loss per share of 1.06. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the analysis of Alector's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Alector is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high odds of going through financial crisis in March.

Alector Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Alector has an asset utilization ratio of 21.47 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.21 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Alector is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Alector Profitability Analysis

Considering Alector's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Alector may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high odds of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Alector's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2017-03-31
Previous Quarter
-30.5 M
Current Value
-34.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
32.4 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current year's Gross Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.86, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 68.4 M.
For Alector profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Alector to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Alector utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Alector's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Alector over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Alector Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Alector's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Alector's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Alector is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Alector is projected to generate -0.415 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Alector earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Alector EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Alector's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Alector, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Alector Ownership Allocation

Alector holds a total of 109.15 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Alector outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Alector to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Alector. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Alector as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Alector Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 100.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (119.05 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (116.89 M).
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Alector's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Alector and how it compares across the competition.

About Alector Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Alector's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alector. We calculate exposure to Alector's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alector's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit115.6 M68.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin(1.06)(1.12)
Operating Profit Margin(1.30)(1.36)
Net Loss(1.07)(1.12)
Gross Profit Margin 0.82  0.86 

Alector Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.863
Forward Price Earnings8.4674

Alector Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Alector and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Alector we look at many different elements of the entity such as Alector's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Alector, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Alector's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Alector's worth.

Complementary Tools for Alector Stock analysis

When running Alector's price analysis, check to measure Alector's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alector is operating at the current time. Most of Alector's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alector's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alector's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alector to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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