Alarm Holdings Stock Performance
| ALRM Stock | USD 48.22 1.79 3.86% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.87, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Alarm Holdings returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Alarm Holdings is expected to follow. At this point, Alarm Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.0595%. Please make sure to confirm Alarm Holdings' information ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Alarm Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Alarm Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Alarm Holdings is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 3.86 | Five Day Return (0.70) | Year To Date Return (5.89) | Ten Year Return 233.47 | All Time Return 185.66 |
1 | Disposition of 20004 shares by Daniel Kerzner of Alarm Holdings at 50.29 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/12/2025 |
2 | Best Growth Stocks to Buy for Nov. 17th | 11/17/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Stephen Trundle of 3531 shares of Alarm Holdings at 48.57 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/18/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Stephen Trundle of 9900 shares of Alarm Holdings at 48.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/20/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Daniel Ramos of 1667 shares of Alarm Holdings at 37.94 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/21/2025 |
6 | Alarm.com Holdings Assessing Valuation Potential After Recent Share Price Stabilization | 12/02/2025 |
7 | Disposition of 1154 shares by Evans Stephen C. of Alarm Holdings at 52.27 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/12/2025 |
8 | Alarm.com versus Ituran Location and Control Financial Analysis | 12/16/2025 |
9 | Alarm.com Director Stephen Evans Sells 1,154 Shares | 12/17/2025 |
10 | Disposition of 22727 shares by Jeffrey Bedell of Alarm Holdings at 51.82 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/18/2025 |
11 | Best Growth Stocks to Buy for Dec. 19 | 12/19/2025 |
12 | Riverbridge Partners LLC Reduces Stock Position in Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ALRM | 12/22/2025 |
13 | Taking A Look At Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.s ROE | 12/30/2025 |
14 | Acquisition by Kevin Bradley of 25000 shares of Alarm Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
15 | Active Managed EV Charging Can Double the Distribution Grids EV Hosting Capacity, New Brattle Group Report Finds | 01/15/2026 |
16 | Alarm.com Shares Gap Down Heres Why | 02/04/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 701.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -24.7 M |
Alarm Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 5,046 in Alarm Holdings on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (224.00) from holding Alarm Holdings or give up 4.44% of portfolio value over 90 days. Alarm Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.744% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Alarm, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Alarm Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Alarm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 48.22 | 90 days | 48.22 | about 89.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alarm Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.88 (This Alarm Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Alarm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Alarm Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alarm Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alarm Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alarm Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alarm Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alarm Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alarm Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alarm Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Alarm Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alarm Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alarm Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alarm Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Alarm.com Shares Gap Down Heres Why |
Alarm Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alarm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alarm Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alarm Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Alarm Holdings Fundamentals Growth
Alarm Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alarm Holdings, and Alarm Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alarm Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0405 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.32 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 49.88 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 31.37 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.80 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.34 X | ||||
| Revenue | 939.83 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 654.91 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 196.29 M | ||||
| Net Income | 122.51 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 643.38 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 12.94 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.06 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.92 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 6.27 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 16.62 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 206.41 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.36 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.32 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.04 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 390.3 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.29 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 161.05 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 29.08 M | ||||
About Alarm Holdings Performance
By examining Alarm Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Alarm Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Alarm Holdings is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 88.07 | 49.02 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.08 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.07 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | 0.10 |
Things to note about Alarm Holdings performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alarm Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alarm Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alarm Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Alarm.com Shares Gap Down Heres Why |
- Analyzing Alarm Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alarm Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Alarm Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Alarm Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alarm Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alarm Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alarm Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alarm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Alarm diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alarm Holdings. If investors know Alarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Alarm Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Earnings Share 2.36 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.066 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Alarm Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Alarm's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Alarm Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Alarm Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Alarm Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alarm Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Alarm Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.