Alarm Holdings Stock Analysis

ALRM Stock  USD 62.32  1.54  2.53%   
Alarm Holdings is fairly valued with Real Value of 61.52 and Target Price of 67.57. The main objective of Alarm Holdings stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Alarm Holdings is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Alarm Holdings' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Alarm Holdings stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Alarm Holdings is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Alarm Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alarm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.

Alarm Stock Analysis Notes

About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Alarm Holdings was presently reported as 13.99. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.54. Alarm Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based solutions for smart residential and commercial properties in the United States and internationally. Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is based in Tysons, Virginia. Alarm operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1606 people. For more info on Alarm Holdings please contact Stephen Trundle at 877 389 4033 or go to https://www.alarm.com.

Alarm Holdings Quarterly Total Revenue

240.5 Million

Alarm Holdings Investment Alerts

Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Alarm.com Stock

Alarm Holdings Upcoming and Recent Events

22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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8th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Alarm Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alarm Holdings' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2015-08-06
2015-06-300.040.050.0125 
2019-11-05
2019-09-300.330.370.0412 
2016-08-15
2016-06-300.110.150.0436 
View All Earnings Estimates

Alarm Holdings Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Alarm Holdings' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Alarm Holdings' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Alarm Holdings' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Alarm Holdings' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Alarm Holdings Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Alarm Holdings stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Alternative Energy Idea
Alternative Energy
Companies, funds and ETFs that are involved in development and popularizing of alternative energy
Aggressive Defence Idea
Aggressive Defence
Small capitalization, high growth potential companies
Tech Growth Idea
Tech Growth
Large and mid-sized technology companies, funds, and technology-based ETFs that are considered growing

Alarm Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
693.6 K
New York State Common Retirement Fund2024-09-30
621 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
577.6 K
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
564.4 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
521.5 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
472.9 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
385 K
Assenagon Asset Management Sa2024-09-30
381.3 K
Handelsbanken Fonder Ab2024-09-30
373.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
8.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
6.2 M
Note, although Alarm Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alarm Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 3.08 B.

Alarm Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.14 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.14 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.14.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.12 

Management Efficiency

Alarm Holdings has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0387 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0387 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1729 %, meaning that it created $0.1729 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Alarm Holdings' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Alarm Holdings manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Alarm Holdings' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.08, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.05. At this time, Alarm Holdings' Net Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.10, while Intangible Assets are likely to drop about 60.8 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 14.55  15.28 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 9.87  10.37 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 20.97  39.12 
Price Book Value Ratio 4.68  8.09 
Enterprise Value Multiple 20.97  39.12 
Price Fair Value 4.68  8.09 
Enterprise ValueB1.6 B
The strategic initiatives led by Alarm Holdings' management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Operating Margin
0.1383
Profit Margin
0.1354
Beta
0.9
Return On Assets
0.0387
Return On Equity
0.1729

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of November, Alarm Holdings shows the mean deviation of 1.46, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0341. Alarm Holdings technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Alarm Holdings coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and semi variance to decide if Alarm Holdings is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 62.32 per share. Given that Alarm Holdings has jensen alpha of (0.10), we suggest you to validate Alarm Holdings's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Alarm Holdings Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Alarm Holdings middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Alarm Holdings. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Alarm Holdings Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Alarm Holdings insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Alarm Holdings' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Alarm Holdings insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Alarm Holdings Outstanding Bonds

Alarm Holdings issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Alarm Holdings uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Alarm bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Alarm Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Alarm Holdings Predictive Daily Indicators

Alarm Holdings intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Alarm Holdings stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Alarm Holdings Corporate Filings

F4
20th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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8K
7th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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13A
4th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
F4
27th of August 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
23rd of August 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
8th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Alarm Holdings Forecast Models

Alarm Holdings' time-series forecasting models are one of many Alarm Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alarm Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Alarm Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Alarm Holdings prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Alarm shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Alarm Holdings. By using and applying Alarm Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Alarm entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.11  0.10 
Operating Profit Margin 0.08  0.10 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.63  0.50 

Current Alarm Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alarm analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alarm analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
67.57Buy9Odds
Alarm Holdings current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Alarm analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alarm stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alarm Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alarm conference calls.
Alarm Analyst Advice Details

Alarm Stock Analysis Indicators

Alarm Holdings stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Alarm Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Alarm Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Alarm Holdings stock analysis, traders can identify Alarm Holdings position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow622.9 M
Long Term Debt493.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity688.5 M
Tax Provision17.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.818
Property Plant And Equipment Net78.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments697 M
Cash697 M
Accounts Payable39 M
Net Debt-171 M
50 Day M A55.6796
Total Current Liabilities175.3 M
Other Operating Expenses814.9 M
Non Current Assets Total482.8 M
Forward Price Earnings27.4725
Non Currrent Assets Other39.5 M
Stock Based Compensation47.3 M
When determining whether Alarm Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Alarm Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Alarm Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Alarm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alarm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alarm Holdings. If investors know Alarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alarm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.818
Earnings Share
2.32
Revenue Per Share
18.569
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.084
Return On Assets
0.0387
The market value of Alarm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alarm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alarm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alarm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alarm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alarm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alarm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alarm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alarm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.