Alarm Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ALRM Stock | USD 62.32 1.54 2.53% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alarm Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Alarm Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Alarm Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alarm and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alarm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Alarm |
Execute Alarm Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Alarm recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alarm Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alarm Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alarm Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Alarm Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Alarm.com Stock |
Alarm Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alarm Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alarm Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alarm Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alarm Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alarm Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alarm Holdings.
| Mean Return | 0.08 | Value At Risk | -2.5 | Potential Upside | 2.66 | Standard Deviation | 2.18 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alarm Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alarm Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Alarm Holdings, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alarm Holdings back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 693.6 K | New York State Common Retirement Fund | 2024-09-30 | 621 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 577.6 K | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 564.4 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 521.5 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 472.9 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 385 K | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2024-09-30 | 381.3 K | Handelsbanken Fonder Ab | 2024-09-30 | 373.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 8.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 6.2 M |
Alarm Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (6.5M) | (10.6M) | (31.4M) | (40.3M) | 21.0M | 22.0M | |
| Change In Cash | (26.4M) | 133.8M | 457.2M | (87.7M) | 78.2M | 62.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 26.9M | 81.6M | 87.7M | 28.3M | 121.8M | 127.9M | |
| Depreciation | 30.4M | 37.3M | 40.6M | 32.2M | 44.1M | 22.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (7.8M) | (19.6M) | 18.3M | 19.3M | 10.5M | 11.1M | |
| Dividends Paid | 139M | 6.4M | 11.7M | 4.5M | 5.1M | 4.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 20.2M | 20.5M | 15.4M | 28.6M | 14.2M | 14.2M | |
| Net Income | 53.3M | 76.7M | 51.2M | 55.6M | 80.3M | 84.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 119.6M | 253.5M | 710.6M | 622.9M | 701.1M | 736.1M | |
| Investments | (26.1M) | 24.5M | (5M) | (68.3M) | (27.4M) | (26.1M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 25.6M | 4.5M | 28.5M | (1.4M) | (1.7M) | (1.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | (22.3M) | (10.1M) | (23.9M) | (24.3M) | (21.9M) | (20.8M) |
Alarm Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alarm Holdings or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alarm Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alarm stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Alarm Holdings Volatility Alert
Alarm Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.85 and kurtosis of 9.56. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alarm Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alarm Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alarm Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alarm Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alarm Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alarm Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alarm Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alarm Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alarm Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alarm Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alarm Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0387 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.14 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.97 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 49.43 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.33 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.89 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.34 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 31.37 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.46 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.33 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 881.68 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 499.98 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 145.38 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 80.34 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 643.38 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 12.94 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 526.03 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.92 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 6.27 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 13.99 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 135.97 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.64 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.32 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.54 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 72.63 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.06 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.9 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.08 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.44 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 266.19 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 781.44 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 10000 shares by Daniel Kerzner of Alarm Holdings at 11.55 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Alarm Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alarm . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Alarm Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alarm Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Alarm Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Alarm Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alarm Holdings. If investors know Alarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alarm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.818 | Earnings Share 2.32 | Revenue Per Share 18.569 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.084 | Return On Assets 0.0387 |
The market value of Alarm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alarm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alarm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alarm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alarm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alarm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alarm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alarm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alarm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.