Bridger Aerospace Group Stock Performance
| BAER Stock | 2.71 0.15 5.24% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Bridger Aerospace holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.75, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Bridger Aerospace's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Bridger Aerospace is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Bridger Aerospace's jensen alpha, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Bridger Aerospace's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Bridger Aerospace Group are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Bridger Aerospace reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (4.35) | Five Day Return (6.23) | Year To Date Return 57.14 | Ten Year Return (70.49) | All Time Return (70.49) |
1 | Disposition of 8808 shares by Gerratt Eric L of Bridger Aerospace at 2.69 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/10/2025 |
2 | Bridger Aerospace Expands Super Scooper Fleet With 50 Million Aircraft Deal | 11/24/2025 |
3 | BAER Upgraded to Outperform on Debt Refinancing Fleet Growth | 11/26/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Jeffrey Kelter of 100000 shares of Bridger Aerospace at 1.8007 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/03/2025 |
5 | How Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc. stock benefits from strong dollar - Economic Data Impact Investment Risk Management Tips - Bollywood Helpline | 12/26/2025 |
6 | Critical Contrast Bridger Aerospace Group versus Virgin Galactic | 12/30/2025 |
7 | Bridger Aerospace Secures 331.5M Financing to Fuel Fleet Expansion, Growth - MSN | 01/22/2026 |
8 | Bridger Aerospace Why This Wildfire Play Is More Momentum Than Long-Term Compounder - Seeking Alpha | 02/03/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 36.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 2.1 M |
Bridger Aerospace Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 162.00 in Bridger Aerospace Group on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 109.00 from holding Bridger Aerospace Group or generate 67.28% return on investment over 90 days. Bridger Aerospace Group is currently generating 0.9674% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.0495% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 45% of stocks are less volatile than Bridger, and 81% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Bridger Aerospace Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Bridger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.71 | 90 days | 2.71 | about 10.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bridger Aerospace to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.03 (This Bridger Aerospace Group probability density function shows the probability of Bridger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Bridger Aerospace Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bridger Aerospace
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bridger Aerospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bridger Aerospace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bridger Aerospace Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bridger Aerospace is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bridger Aerospace's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bridger Aerospace Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bridger Aerospace within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Bridger Aerospace Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bridger Aerospace for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bridger Aerospace can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bridger Aerospace is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Bridger Aerospace appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Bridger Aerospace has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 98.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 57.43 M. | |
| Bridger Aerospace has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bridger Aerospace Why This Wildfire Play Is More Momentum Than Long-Term Compounder - Seeking Alpha |
Bridger Aerospace Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bridger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bridger Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bridger Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.3 M |
Bridger Aerospace Fundamentals Growth
Bridger Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Bridger Aerospace, and Bridger Aerospace fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Bridger Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0875 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0495 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.57 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 714.94 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 55.54 M | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.22 X | ||||
| Revenue | 98.61 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 57.43 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 24.84 M | ||||
| Net Income | (15.57 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 212.56 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (5.80) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 9.36 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.38) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 158.85 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 290.81 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (429.24 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 40.42 M | ||||
About Bridger Aerospace Performance
Assessing Bridger Aerospace's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Bridger Aerospace's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Bridger Aerospace is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 6.26 | 5.95 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.06) | (0.06) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.33) | (0.35) |
Things to note about Bridger Aerospace performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bridger Aerospace for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Bridger Aerospace help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bridger Aerospace is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Bridger Aerospace appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Bridger Aerospace has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 98.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 57.43 M. | |
| Bridger Aerospace has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bridger Aerospace Why This Wildfire Play Is More Momentum Than Long-Term Compounder - Seeking Alpha |
- Analyzing Bridger Aerospace's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Bridger Aerospace's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Bridger Aerospace's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Bridger Aerospace's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Bridger Aerospace's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Bridger Aerospace's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Bridger Aerospace's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Bridger Stock Analysis
When running Bridger Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Bridger Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bridger Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Bridger Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bridger Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bridger Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bridger Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.