Graniteshares Gold Trust Etf Performance

BAR Etf  USD 50.04  1.26  2.58%   
The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.46, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, GraniteShares Gold's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding GraniteShares Gold is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in GraniteShares Gold Trust are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, GraniteShares Gold reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
Warren Buffett Wont Buy Gold, And This Valuation Guru Agrees Its A Collectible, Not An Asset
11/11/2025
2
GraniteShares Gold Trust Reaches New 52-Week High Heres What Happened
12/22/2025
3
GraniteShares Gold Trust Hits New 12-Month High Heres Why
01/20/2026

GraniteShares Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,136  in GraniteShares Gold Trust on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  868.00  from holding GraniteShares Gold Trust or generate 20.99% return on investment over 90 days. GraniteShares Gold Trust is generating 0.3417% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.1683% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 19% of etfs are less volatile than GraniteShares, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon GraniteShares Gold is expected to generate 2.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for GraniteShares Gold Trust extending back to August 31, 2017. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of GraniteShares Gold stands at 50.04, as last reported on the 10th of February, with the highest price reaching 50.10 and the lowest price hitting 49.43 during the day.
3 y Volatility
15.63
200 Day MA
37.5863
1 y Volatility
17.54
50 Day MA
44.6746
Inception Date
2017-08-23
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

GraniteShares Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of GraniteShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 50.04 90 days 50.04 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GraniteShares Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This GraniteShares Gold Trust probability density function shows the probability of GraniteShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon GraniteShares Gold has a beta of 0.46 suggesting as returns on the market go up, GraniteShares Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GraniteShares Gold Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GraniteShares Gold Trust has an alpha of 0.3562, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GraniteShares Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GraniteShares Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GraniteShares Gold Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.9250.0652.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.7150.8552.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GraniteShares Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GraniteShares Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GraniteShares Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GraniteShares Gold Trust.

GraniteShares Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GraniteShares Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GraniteShares Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GraniteShares Gold Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GraniteShares Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
3.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

GraniteShares Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GraniteShares Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GraniteShares Gold Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: GraniteShares Gold Trust Hits New 12-Month High Heres Why
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

GraniteShares Gold Fundamentals Growth

GraniteShares Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of GraniteShares Gold, and GraniteShares Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on GraniteShares Etf performance.

About GraniteShares Gold Performance

Assessing GraniteShares Gold's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into GraniteShares Gold's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the GraniteShares Gold is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The investment seeks to reflect generally the performance of the price of gold. Graniteshares Gold is traded on NYSEArca Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: GraniteShares Gold Trust Hits New 12-Month High Heres Why
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
When determining whether GraniteShares Gold Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze GraniteShares Gold's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact GraniteShares Gold's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding GraniteShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in GraniteShares Gold Trust. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
The market value of GraniteShares Gold Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GraniteShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GraniteShares Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GraniteShares Gold's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because GraniteShares Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GraniteShares Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between GraniteShares Gold's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding GraniteShares Gold should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, GraniteShares Gold's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.