Business First Bancshares Stock Performance
| BFST Stock | USD 28.37 0.62 2.23% |
Business First has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.98, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Business First returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Business First is expected to follow. Business First Bancshares right now shows a risk of 1.55%. Please confirm Business First Bancshares expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Business First Bancshares will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Business First Bancshares are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, Business First may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 2.23 | Five Day Return (1.36) | Year To Date Return 9.62 | Ten Year Return 12.31 | All Time Return 12.31 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0209 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.58 | Dividend Date 2026-02-28 | Ex Dividend Date 2026-02-13 |
1 | Disposition of 12000 shares by Buquet James J. Iii of Business First at 29.12 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/28/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 1272 shares by Warren McDonald of Business First subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/12/2025 |
3 | How Business First Bancshares Inc. stock trades before earnings - 2025 Historical Comparison Technical Entry and Exit Alerts - | 12/18/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Folse Mark P. of 1016 shares of Business First subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/16/2026 |
5 | Business First Bancshares 9.1 percent CAGR outpaced the companys earnings growth over the same five-year period | 01/22/2026 |
6 | Business First Bancshares Inc Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Strong EPS Growth and ... | 01/23/2026 |
7 | Acquisition by Day Rick D. of 1500 shares of Business First at 27.55 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/27/2026 |
8 | Disposition of 3778 shares by Donald Carter of Business First at 27.27 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/29/2026 |
9 | Business First Bancshares Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of 0.15 | 01/30/2026 |
10 | Disposition of 5146 shares by Folse Mark P. of Business First at 29.75 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/09/2026 |
11 | Business First Bancshares, Inc. Looks Interesting, And Its About To Pay A Dividend | 02/10/2026 |
12 | Dont Ignore The Insider Selling In Business First Bancshares | 02/13/2026 |
13 | Acquisition by Warren McDonald of 3856 shares of Business First subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/19/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 226.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -294.9 M |
Business First Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,589 in Business First Bancshares on November 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 248.00 from holding Business First Bancshares or generate 9.58% return on investment over 90 days. Business First Bancshares is currently generating 0.1643% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.5497% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than Business, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Business First Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Business Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 28.37 | 90 days | 28.37 | about 19.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Business First to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.13 (This Business First Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Business Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Business First Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Business First
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Business First Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Business First's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Business First Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Business First is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Business First's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Business First Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Business First within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Business First Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Business First for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Business First Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Dont Ignore The Insider Selling In Business First Bancshares |
Business First Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Business Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Business First's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Business First's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Business First Fundamentals Growth
Business Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Business First, and Business First fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Business Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0109 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.28 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.36 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 833.05 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 32.81 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 10.67 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.88 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.91 X | ||||
| Revenue | 511.93 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 312.76 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 113.41 M | ||||
| Net Income | 65.11 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 163.81 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 6.53 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 551.35 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 7.39 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 27.95 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 61.4 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.79 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 910.55 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 8.21 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 326.57 M | ||||
About Business First Performance
Assessing Business First's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Business First's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Business First is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | -44.5 K | -46.7 K | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.10 | 0.06 |
Things to note about Business First Bancshares performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Business First for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Business First Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Dont Ignore The Insider Selling In Business First Bancshares |
- Analyzing Business First's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Business First's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Business First's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Business First's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Business First's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Business First's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Business First's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Business Stock Analysis
When running Business First's price analysis, check to measure Business First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Business First is operating at the current time. Most of Business First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Business First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Business First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Business First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.