Business First Bancshares Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BFST Stock | USD 28.95 0.57 2.01% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Business First Bancshares is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Business First Bancshares given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Business First. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Business First Bancshares, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Business First Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Business and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Business First Bancshares. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Business |
Execute Business First Buy or Sell Advice
The Business recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Business First Bancshares. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Business First Bancshares or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Business First's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Business First Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Business First has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Royce Associates LP Cuts Stock Position in The First Bancshares, Inc. - MarketBeat |
Business First Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Business First's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Business First's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Business First daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Business First Bancshares price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Business First returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Business First.
| Mean Return | 0.36 | Value At Risk | -3.48 | Potential Upside | 3.20 | Standard Deviation | 2.51 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Business First historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Business Stock Institutional Investors
The Business First's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Business First's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Mendon Capital Advisors Corp | 2024-06-30 | 370 K | Curi Rmb Capital | 2024-09-30 | 296.5 K | Kennedy Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 211.8 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 210.9 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 196.2 K | Acadian Asset Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 194.7 K | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 193.6 K | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-09-30 | 171.1 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 167.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M |
Business First Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (6.7M) | 59.8M | (80.8M) | 84.4M | 73.4M | 77.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 20.5M | 26.4M | 52.5M | 61.8M | 80.8M | 84.8M | |
| Depreciation | 1.6M | 3.2M | 4.2M | 4.8M | 4.7M | 2.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (863K) | 5.5M | (4.5M) | 5.2M | (3.5M) | (3.3M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.0M | 3.0M | 4.0M | 7.8M | 11.6M | 12.2M | |
| Net Income | 23.8M | 30.0M | 52.1M | 54.3M | 71.0M | 74.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 89.4M | 149.1M | 68.4M | 152.7M | 226.1M | 237.4M | |
| Investments | (213.2M) | (665.2M) | (743.1M) | (945.4M) | (660.2M) | (627.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 55.8M | (49.2M) | 38.8M | 15.1M | 17.4M | 11.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 5.1M | 7.5M | 9.4M | 12.2M | 18.1M | 19.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.2M | 10.1M | (946K) | 9.5M | 10.9M | 11.4M | |
| Change Receivables | 198K | (10.6M) | 4.3M | (3.5M) | (3.1M) | (3.0M) |
Business First Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Business First or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Business First's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Business stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Business First Volatility Alert
Business First Bancshares has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.97 and kurtosis of 10.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Business First's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Business First's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Business First Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Business First's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Business First's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Business First and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Business First or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Business First's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Business First by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Business First to competition |
| Fundamentals | Business First | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0989 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0096 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.26 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.35 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.01 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 29.54 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.25 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 44.21 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 148.91 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.67 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.34 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.36 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 245.83 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 218 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 95.26 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 71.04 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 163.81 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.53 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 616.19 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 7.39 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 24.59 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 92.43 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.41 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.32 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 32.38 | |
| Number Of Employees | 751 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.97 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 838.39 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.58 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 216.12 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Net Asset | 6.58 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.56 |
Note: Acquisition by Norman Vascocu of 1789 shares of Business First at 27.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Business First Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Business . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Business First Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Business First Bancshares? Buying financial instruments such as Business Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Business Stock Analysis
When running Business First's price analysis, check to measure Business First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Business First is operating at the current time. Most of Business First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Business First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Business First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Business First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.