Blue Gold Limited Stock Performance
| BGL Stock | 3.06 0.80 20.73% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.7, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Blue Gold will likely underperform. At this point, Blue Gold Limited has a negative expected return of -0.3%. Please make sure to confirm Blue Gold's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if Blue Gold Limited performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Blue Gold Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (20.73) | Five Day Return (42.70) | Year To Date Return 33.04 | Ten Year Return (84.78) | All Time Return (84.78) |
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2 | ASX Preview Australian Shares Set to Rise on US Fed Rate-Cut Hopes, Gold Rally Regis Resources Fiscal Q2 Gold Production Falls | 01/06/2026 |
3 | Bushfire at Newmonts Boddington impacts production and Bellevue Gold experiences another explosive misfire | 01/07/2026 |
4 | Parsons, Naylor exit Bellevue as miner looks to better 2026 | 01/20/2026 |
5 | Bellevue Gold Expands Mining Operations Across ASX 300 Materials Landscape | 01/21/2026 |
6 | A Look At Bellevue Gold Valuation After Higher Grade Output And Leadership Changes | 01/22/2026 |
7 | Weekly Ratings, Targets, Forecast Changes 23-01-26 | 01/26/2026 |
8 | Is it time to sell this surging gold producer | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 222.6 K | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 51.4 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -793.4 K |
Blue Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 665.00 in Blue Gold Limited on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (359.00) from holding Blue Gold Limited or give up 53.98% of portfolio value over 90 days. Blue Gold Limited is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 16.2601% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, majority of equities are less volatile than Blue, and most equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Blue Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Blue Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.06 | 90 days | 3.06 | about 70.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blue Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.86 (This Blue Gold Limited probability density function shows the probability of Blue Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.7 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Blue Gold will likely underperform. Additionally Blue Gold Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Blue Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Blue Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Gold Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Blue Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blue Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blue Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blue Gold Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blue Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Blue Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blue Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blue Gold Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Blue Gold Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Blue Gold Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Blue Gold generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Blue Gold Limited has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from fool.com.au: Is it time to sell this surging gold producer |
Blue Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blue Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blue Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43.5 K | |
| Shares Float | 12.4 M |
Blue Gold Fundamentals Growth
Blue Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Blue Gold, and Blue Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Blue Stock performance.
| Current Valuation | 286.28 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 31.12 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 817.98 K | ||||
| Net Income | 702.96 K | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.33 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.44) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (793.44 K) | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 203.87 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 4.03 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (4.31 M) | ||||
About Blue Gold Performance
By examining Blue Gold's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Blue Gold's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Blue Gold is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.17 | 0.16 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (1.52) | (1.45) | |
| Return On Assets | 0.17 | 0.16 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.48 | 0.50 |
Things to note about Blue Gold Limited performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Blue Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Blue Gold Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Blue Gold Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Blue Gold Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Blue Gold generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Blue Gold Limited has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from fool.com.au: Is it time to sell this surging gold producer |
- Analyzing Blue Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Blue Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Blue Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Blue Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Blue Gold's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Blue Gold's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Blue Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Blue Gold Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Gold space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Gold. Projected growth potential of Blue fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Blue Gold assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Blue Gold Limited using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Blue Gold's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Blue Gold's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Blue Gold's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Blue Gold should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Blue Gold's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.