Bilibili Stock Performance

BILI Stock  USD 30.60  0.31  1.02%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Bilibili holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.46, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Bilibili will likely underperform. Please check Bilibili's total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Bilibili's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Bilibili are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly uncertain essential indicators, Bilibili demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.02
Five Day Return
0.16
Year To Date Return
16.04
Ten Year Return
172.24
All Time Return
172.24
1
Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Fox, Bilibili and Sirius XM
01/05/2026
2
Are Consumer Discretionary Stocks Lagging Bilibili This Year
01/09/2026
3
Bilibili Stock Rises on Strong Advertising Growth - GuruFocus
01/14/2026
4
Is It Time To Reassess Bilibili After Its Strong One Year Share Price Rally
01/21/2026
5
Heres What Bilibili Stocks Upside Looks Like in 2026 After Gaining 110 percent Last Year - TIKR.com
01/30/2026
6
Bilibili Reports No Share Capital Changes in January 2026 Hong Kong Filing - TipRanks
02/06/2026
7
Bilibili Inc. to Report Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Unaudited Financial Results on Thursday, March 5, 2026
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow7.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-138.1 M

Bilibili Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,612  in Bilibili on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  448.00  from holding Bilibili or generate 17.15% return on investment over 90 days. Bilibili is currently generating 0.3066% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.2364% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 29% of stocks are less volatile than Bilibili, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Bilibili is expected to generate 4.24 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.24 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Bilibili Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Bilibili Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.60 90 days 30.60 
about 24.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bilibili to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.15 (This Bilibili probability density function shows the probability of Bilibili Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.46 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bilibili will likely underperform. Additionally Bilibili has an alpha of 0.1089, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bilibili Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bilibili

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bilibili. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.3130.5733.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.8330.0933.35
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.5631.3934.84
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.021.321.68
Details

Bilibili Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bilibili is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bilibili's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bilibili, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bilibili within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.46
σ
Overall volatility
3.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Bilibili Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bilibili for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bilibili can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bilibili had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 26.83 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.35 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.82 B.
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Bilibili Inc. to Report Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Unaudited Financial Results on Thursday, March 5, 2026

Bilibili Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bilibili Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bilibili's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bilibili's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding416.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.7 B

Bilibili Fundamentals Growth

Bilibili Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Bilibili, and Bilibili fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Bilibili Stock performance.

About Bilibili Performance

By evaluating Bilibili's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Bilibili's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Bilibili has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Bilibili has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 5.36  4.87 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Capital Employed(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Assets(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Equity(0.09)(0.09)

Things to note about Bilibili performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bilibili for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Bilibili help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bilibili had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 26.83 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.35 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.82 B.
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Bilibili Inc. to Report Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Unaudited Financial Results on Thursday, March 5, 2026
Evaluating Bilibili's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Bilibili's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Bilibili's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Bilibili's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Bilibili's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Bilibili's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Bilibili's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Bilibili's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Bilibili's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Bilibili's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Bilibili's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Bilibili's price analysis, check to measure Bilibili's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bilibili is operating at the current time. Most of Bilibili's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bilibili's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bilibili's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bilibili to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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