Builders Firstsource Stock Performance

BLDR Stock  USD 128.43  4.13  3.32%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Builders FirstSource holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.06, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Builders FirstSource will likely underperform. Please check Builders FirstSource's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Builders FirstSource's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Builders FirstSource are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively conflicting fundamental indicators, Builders FirstSource reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.1)
Five Day Return
3.64
Year To Date Return
18.8
Ten Year Return
1.7 K
All Time Return
705.05
Last Split Factor
1086:995
Last Split Date
2009-12-17
1
10 Industrials Stocks With Whale Alerts In Todays Session
11/21/2025
2
Acquisition by Mark Alexander of 224 shares of Builders FirstSource at 138.99 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/26/2025
3
Why Is Builders FirstSource Stock Soaring Today
01/05/2026
4
Builders FirstSource Gains As Market Dips What You Should Know
01/14/2026
5
Assessing Builders FirstSource Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum
01/15/2026
6
Builders FirstSource The Margin Floor Is In, Building Back Higher In 2026 - Seeking Alpha
01/27/2026
7
Builders FirstSource Moves 4.7 percent Higher Will This Strength Last
02/04/2026
8
Thrivent Financial for Lutherans Acquires 56,923 Shares of Builders FirstSource, Inc. BLDR
02/06/2026
9
Black Bear Value Fund Aligns with the Long-Term Thesis for Builders FirstSource
02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow66.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-710.7 M

Builders FirstSource Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,642  in Builders FirstSource on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,200  from holding Builders FirstSource or generate 20.67% return on investment over 90 days. Builders FirstSource is currently generating 0.3552% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.1231% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 28% of stocks are less volatile than Builders, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Builders FirstSource is expected to generate 3.86 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.86 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Builders FirstSource Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Builders Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 128.43 90 days 128.43 
roughly 2.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Builders FirstSource to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.31 (This Builders FirstSource probability density function shows the probability of Builders Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.06 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Builders FirstSource will likely underperform. Additionally Builders FirstSource has an alpha of 0.0395, implying that it can generate a 0.0395 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Builders FirstSource Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Builders FirstSource

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Builders FirstSource. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Builders FirstSource's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
125.67128.80131.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
124.87128.00131.13
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
118.52130.24144.56
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.181.561.84
Details

Builders FirstSource Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Builders FirstSource is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Builders FirstSource's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Builders FirstSource, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Builders FirstSource within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.06
σ
Overall volatility
8.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Builders FirstSource Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Builders FirstSource for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Builders FirstSource can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Builders FirstSource had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Builders FirstSource is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Builders FirstSource has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Black Bear Value Fund Aligns with the Long-Term Thesis for Builders FirstSource

Builders FirstSource Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Builders Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Builders FirstSource's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Builders FirstSource's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding119 M
Cash And Short Term Investments153.6 M

Builders FirstSource Fundamentals Growth

Builders Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Builders FirstSource, and Builders FirstSource fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Builders Stock performance.

About Builders FirstSource Performance

Assessing Builders FirstSource's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Builders FirstSource's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Builders FirstSource is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 36.15  31.23 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.17  0.18 
Return On Capital Employed 0.16  0.17 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.23  0.24 

Things to note about Builders FirstSource performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Builders FirstSource for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Builders FirstSource help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Builders FirstSource had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Builders FirstSource is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Builders FirstSource has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Black Bear Value Fund Aligns with the Long-Term Thesis for Builders FirstSource
Evaluating Builders FirstSource's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Builders FirstSource's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Builders FirstSource's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Builders FirstSource's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Builders FirstSource's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Builders FirstSource's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Builders FirstSource's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Builders FirstSource's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Builders FirstSource's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Builders FirstSource's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Builders FirstSource's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Builders Stock Analysis

When running Builders FirstSource's price analysis, check to measure Builders FirstSource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Builders FirstSource is operating at the current time. Most of Builders FirstSource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Builders FirstSource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Builders FirstSource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Builders FirstSource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.