Builders Firstsource Stock Technical Analysis
| BLDR Stock | USD 124.42 4.36 3.63% |
As of the 8th of February, Builders FirstSource shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0579, mean deviation of 2.21, and Downside Deviation of 2.06. Builders FirstSource technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Builders FirstSource information ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis to decide if Builders FirstSource is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 124.42 per share. Given that Builders FirstSource has jensen alpha of 0.0141, we suggest you to validate Builders FirstSource's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Builders FirstSource Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Builders, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to BuildersBuilders FirstSource's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Builders FirstSource Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 130.24 | Strong Buy | 21 | Odds |
Most Builders analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Builders stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Builders FirstSource, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Builders conference calls.
Can Building Products industry sustain growth momentum? Does Builders have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Builders FirstSource. Projected growth potential of Builders fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Builders FirstSource demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | Earnings Share 5.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Builders FirstSource requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Builders's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Builders FirstSource's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Builders FirstSource's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Builders FirstSource's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Builders FirstSource should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Builders FirstSource's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Builders FirstSource 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Builders FirstSource's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Builders FirstSource.
| 11/10/2025 |
| 02/08/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Builders FirstSource on November 10, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Builders FirstSource or generate 0.0% return on investment in Builders FirstSource over 90 days. Builders FirstSource is related to or competes with Masco, Topbuild Corp, Carlisle Companies, Advanced Drainage, Owens Corning, Huntington Ingalls, and WESCO International. Builders FirstSource, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies building materials, manufactured c... More
Builders FirstSource Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Builders FirstSource's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Builders FirstSource upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0332 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.38 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.37) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.94 |
Builders FirstSource Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Builders FirstSource's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Builders FirstSource's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Builders FirstSource historical prices to predict the future Builders FirstSource's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0579 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0141 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0489 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0864 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Builders FirstSource's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Builders FirstSource February 8, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0579 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0964 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1594.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.04 | |||
| Variance | 9.23 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0332 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0141 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0489 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0864 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.38 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.37) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.11) | |||
| Skewness | 1.42 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.09 |
Builders FirstSource Backtested Returns
Builders FirstSource appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Builders FirstSource secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0936, which signifies that the company had a 0.0936 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Builders FirstSource, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Builders FirstSource's Mean Deviation of 2.21, downside deviation of 2.06, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0579 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Builders FirstSource holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.09, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Builders FirstSource will likely underperform. Please check Builders FirstSource's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Builders FirstSource's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.47 |
Average predictability
Builders FirstSource has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Builders FirstSource time series from 10th of November 2025 to 25th of December 2025 and 25th of December 2025 to 8th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Builders FirstSource price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Builders FirstSource price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.36 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 69.82 |
Builders FirstSource technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Builders FirstSource Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Builders FirstSource volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Builders FirstSource Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Builders FirstSource on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Builders FirstSource based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Builders FirstSource price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Builders FirstSource. By analyzing Builders FirstSource's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Builders FirstSource's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Builders FirstSource specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 40.41 | 36.91 | 42.45 | 42.88 | PTB Ratio | 4.51 | 3.93 | 3.53 | 4.66 |
Builders FirstSource February 8, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Builders help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Builders from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Builders charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0579 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0964 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1594.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.04 | |||
| Variance | 9.23 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0332 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0141 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0489 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0864 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.38 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.37) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.11) | |||
| Skewness | 1.42 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.09 |
Builders FirstSource February 8, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Builders stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.82 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | ||
| Day Median Price | 123.35 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 123.71 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 3.25 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 5.30 |
Additional Tools for Builders Stock Analysis
When running Builders FirstSource's price analysis, check to measure Builders FirstSource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Builders FirstSource is operating at the current time. Most of Builders FirstSource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Builders FirstSource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Builders FirstSource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Builders FirstSource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.