Caredx Inc Stock Performance

CDNA Stock  USD 20.19  0.72  3.70%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, CareDx holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.64, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, CareDx will likely underperform. Please check CareDx's total risk alpha, value at risk, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether CareDx's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CareDx Inc are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat inconsistent basic indicators, CareDx sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.7
Five Day Return
(1.80)
Year To Date Return
5.49
Ten Year Return
314.58
All Time Return
123.09
1
Disposition of 29136 shares by Cournoyer Christine of CareDx at 15.9604 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
2
CareDx Provides Notice of Proposed Derivative Settlement
12/18/2025
3
CareDx Is Up 9.4 percent After Strong 2025 Outlook And 10x Genomics Tie-Up - Has The Bull Case Changed
01/13/2026
4
CareDx Valuation Check After Strong Preliminary 2025 Revenue Guidance And Transplant Pipeline Progress
01/15/2026
5
Disposition of 200 shares by John Hanna of CareDx at 21.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/21/2026
6
Disposition of 19280 shares by John Hanna of CareDx at 21.163 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/22/2026
7
Disposition of 16700 shares by Cournoyer Christine of CareDx at 14.1275 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
8
CareDx President and CEO Sells 19,000 Shares for 412,000
01/30/2026
9
Acquisition by John Hanna of 162500 shares of CareDx subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
10
Disposition of 4441 shares by Jeffrey Novack of CareDx at 20.5553 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
11
Disposition of 3512 shares by Jeffrey Novack of CareDx at 23.2999 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/04/2026
12
Acquisition by Cournoyer Christine of 29136 shares of CareDx at 7.96 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow82.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-483 K

CareDx Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,631  in CareDx Inc on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  388.00  from holding CareDx Inc or generate 23.79% return on investment over 90 days. CareDx Inc is currently generating 0.4347% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.0819% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than CareDx, and 92% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CareDx is expected to generate 5.04 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.04 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

CareDx Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of CareDx Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.19 90 days 20.19 
about 19.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CareDx to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.75 (This CareDx Inc probability density function shows the probability of CareDx Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.64 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CareDx will likely underperform. Additionally CareDx Inc has an alpha of 0.4417, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CareDx Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CareDx

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CareDx Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.9619.9824.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.5720.5924.61
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.0222.0024.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.160.210.26
Details

CareDx Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CareDx is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CareDx's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CareDx Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CareDx within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.64
σ
Overall volatility
1.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

CareDx Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CareDx for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CareDx Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CareDx Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Cournoyer Christine of 29136 shares of CareDx at 7.96 subject to Rule 16b-3

CareDx Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CareDx Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CareDx's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CareDx's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments260.7 M

CareDx Fundamentals Growth

CareDx Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CareDx, and CareDx fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CareDx Stock performance.

About CareDx Performance

By analyzing CareDx's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into CareDx's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if CareDx has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if CareDx has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 58.44  44.01 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.12 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.16  0.15 

Things to note about CareDx Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about CareDx for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CareDx Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CareDx Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Cournoyer Christine of 29136 shares of CareDx at 7.96 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating CareDx's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate CareDx's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing CareDx's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CareDx's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining CareDx's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating CareDx's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CareDx's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CareDx's stock. These opinions can provide insight into CareDx's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating CareDx's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact CareDx's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for CareDx Stock analysis

When running CareDx's price analysis, check to measure CareDx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CareDx is operating at the current time. Most of CareDx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CareDx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CareDx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CareDx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope