Cf Industries Holdings Stock Performance

CF Stock  USD 91.74  0.09  0.1%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, CF Industries holds a performance score of 8. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.48, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, CF Industries' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CF Industries is expected to be smaller as well. Please check CF Industries' mean deviation, standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether CF Industries' current price history will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CF Industries Holdings are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak technical and fundamental indicators, CF Industries may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.0982
Five Day Return
1.71
Year To Date Return
14.49
Ten Year Return
202.47
All Time Return
2.7 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0218
Payout Ratio
0.241
Last Split Factor
5:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2
Dividend Date
2025-11-28
 
CF Industries dividend paid on 28th of November 2025
11/28/2025
1
Quantbot Technologies LP Has 1.07 Million Position in CF Industries Holdings, Inc. CF
12/09/2025
2
Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern file historic rail merger application
12/19/2025
3
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01/05/2026
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CF Industries Holdings, Inc. CF Shares Sold by New York State Teachers Retirement System
01/14/2026
6
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8
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Announces Planned Schedule for Quarterly Financial Results to be Released in 2026
01/21/2026
9
Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services LLC Purchases 96,986 Shares of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. CF
01/22/2026
Begin Period Cash FlowB
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-469 M

CF Industries Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,232  in CF Industries Holdings on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  942.00  from holding CF Industries Holdings or generate 11.44% return on investment over 90 days. CF Industries Holdings is generating 0.1985% of daily returns and assumes 1.899% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 17% of stocks are less risky than CF Industries on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 96% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon CF Industries is expected to generate 2.52 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.52 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

CF Industries Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of CF Industries Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 91.74 90 days 91.74 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CF Industries to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CF Industries Holdings probability density function shows the probability of CF Industries Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon CF Industries has a beta of 0.48 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CF Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CF Industries Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CF Industries Holdings has an alpha of 0.082, implying that it can generate a 0.082 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CF Industries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CF Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CF Industries Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.8891.7893.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.8690.7692.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.2895.1897.08
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
83.3791.61101.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CF Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CF Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CF Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CF Industries Holdings.

CF Industries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CF Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CF Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CF Industries Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CF Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
4.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

CF Industries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CF Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CF Industries Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mosaic Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Rebound And Mixed Long Term Returns

CF Industries Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CF Industries Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CF Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CF Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding180.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

CF Industries Fundamentals Growth

CF Industries Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CF Industries, and CF Industries fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CF Industries Stock performance.

About CF Industries Performance

By analyzing CF Industries' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into CF Industries' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if CF Industries has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if CF Industries has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 33.97  43.37 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed 0.16  0.23 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.15 

Things to note about CF Industries Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about CF Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CF Industries Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mosaic Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Rebound And Mixed Long Term Returns
Evaluating CF Industries' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate CF Industries' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing CF Industries' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CF Industries' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining CF Industries' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating CF Industries' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CF Industries' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CF Industries' stock. These opinions can provide insight into CF Industries' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating CF Industries' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact CF Industries' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for CF Industries Stock analysis

When running CF Industries' price analysis, check to measure CF Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CF Industries is operating at the current time. Most of CF Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CF Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CF Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CF Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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