Cf Industries Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 97.11
| CF Stock | USD 97.11 0.80 0.83% |
Closest to current price CF Industries long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
CF Industries | Build AI portfolio with CF Industries Stock |
CF Industries Target Price Odds to finish over 97.11
The tendency of CF Industries Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 97.11 | 90 days | 97.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CF Industries to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CF Industries Holdings probability density function shows the probability of CF Industries Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
CF Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CF Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CF Industries Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CF Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CF Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CF Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CF Industries Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CF Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
CF Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CF Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CF Industries Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Hydrogen Stocks To Follow Today February 6th |
CF Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CF Industries Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CF Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CF Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 180.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
CF Industries Technical Analysis
CF Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CF Industries Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CF Industries Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing CF Industries Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CF Industries Predictive Forecast Models
CF Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many CF Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CF Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CF Industries Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about CF Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CF Industries Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Hydrogen Stocks To Follow Today February 6th |
Check out CF Industries Analysis, CF Industries Valuation, CF Industries Correlation, CF Industries Hype Analysis, CF Industries Volatility, CF Industries Price History as well as CF Industries Performance. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Can Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals industry sustain growth momentum? Does CF Industries have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CF Industries. Projected growth potential of CF Industries fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating CF Industries demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.416 | Dividend Share 2 | Earnings Share 8.39 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.211 |
Investors evaluate CF Industries Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating CF Industries' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause CF Industries' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between CF Industries' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CF Industries should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, CF Industries' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.