Cf Industries Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CF Stock | USD 89.91 2.37 2.71% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding CF Industries Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides CF Industries buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CF positions.
Check out CF Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as CF Industries and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. CF Industries Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
CF Industries |
Execute CF Industries Buy or Sell Advice
The CF Industries recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on CF Industries Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in CF Industries Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute CF Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
CF Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: B2Golds Exploration Efforts Yield Promising Results at Goose Project |
CF Industries Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of CF Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of CF Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of CF Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use CF Industries Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of CF Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for CF Industries.
| Mean Return | 0.20 | Value At Risk | -2.19 | Potential Upside | 2.17 | Standard Deviation | 1.54 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of CF Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
CF Industries Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.1 M | Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 3 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2.9 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M | Eminence Capital Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2.4 M | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.4 M | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 2.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 21.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 15.9 M |
CF Industries Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (395M) | 396M | 945M | 695M | (291M) | (276.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.1B | 922M | 2.3B | 3.4B | 2.3B | 2.4B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (81M) | (56M) | 443M | 34M | 53M | 55.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 404M | 309M | 524M | 462M | 501M | 634.3M | |
| Net Income | 646M | 432M | 1.3B | 3.9B | 1.5B | 937.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 287M | 683M | 1.6B | 2.3B | 2.0B | 1.0B | |
| Change To Inventory | (26M) | 27M | (123M) | (93M) | 152M | 159.6M | |
| Depreciation | 888M | 875M | 892M | 850M | 869M | 545.8M | |
| Dividends Paid | 265M | 258M | 260M | 306M | 311M | 182.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 76M | 101M | 691M | (52M) | (59.8M) | (56.8M) | |
| Investments | (319M) | 6M | (1M) | (440M) | (403M) | (423.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | (6M) | 19M | (235M) | (110M) | (99M) | (94.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 1M | (772M) | (518M) | (511M) | (459.9M) | (436.9M) |
CF Industries Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CF Industries or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CF Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a CF Industries stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
CF Industries Volatility Alert
CF Industries Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.83 and kurtosis of 0.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CF Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CF Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.CF Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing CF Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze CF Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between CF Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as CF Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of CF Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CF Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare CF Industries to competition |
| Fundamentals | CF Industries | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0784 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.19 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.27 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 17.02 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 174.02 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.62 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 96.39 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.28 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 72.32 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.01 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.64 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.63 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 5.86 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.13 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.52 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.32 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 11.89 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.23 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.42 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.41 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 29.80 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.76 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.23 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.31 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 49.48 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 87.04 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.96 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.77 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 14.38 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 4.54 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.25 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 6000 shares by Bert Frost of CF Industries at 85.0027 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
CF Industries Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as CF Industries . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About CF Industries Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell CF Industries Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as CF Industries Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having CF Industries in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Business Supplies Thematic Idea Now
Business Supplies
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Business Supplies theme has 24 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Business Supplies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out CF Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CF Industries. If investors know CF Industries will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CF Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.82 | Dividend Share 1.9 | Earnings Share 6.31 | Revenue Per Share 32.397 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.076 |
The market value of CF Industries Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CF Industries that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CF Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CF Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CF Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CF Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CF Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CF Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CF Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.