Commerce Stock Performance

CMRC Stock   2.46  0.28  10.22%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.37, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Commerce will likely underperform. At this point, Commerce has a negative expected return of -0.98%. Please make sure to confirm Commerce's treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day median price , to decide if Commerce performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Commerce has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(10.22)
Five Day Return
(16.89)
Year To Date Return
(39.41)
Ten Year Return
(96.60)
All Time Return
(96.60)
1
E-Commerce Leader Sea Ltd. Readies 1 Billion Buyback. Stock Jumps Following Earnings Selloff. - Investors Business Daily
11/17/2025
2
Commerce Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings
12/10/2025
3
Spotlight On Promising Penny Stocks In January 2026
01/08/2026
4
Commerce.com and The Competition Financial Contrast
01/16/2026
5
How Jayuds new Huahu hub raced from 151,000 to 3,051,000 kg - Stock Titan
01/20/2026
6
Commerce.com Strengthens Google Partnership, Expands AI Commerce Tools, and Reports EuroOptic Growth
01/23/2026
7
MercadoLibre Expands Beyond Marketplaces As Latin American E Commerce Outlook Rises - simplywall.st
01/28/2026
8
Commerce.com, Inc.s 25 percent Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues
01/30/2026
9
Upgrading Shopify On Agentic Commerce Inflection Point - Seeking Alpha
02/02/2026
10
BTIG Research Cuts Lightspeed Commerce Price Target to 15.00 - MarketBeat
02/05/2026
11
Auto Stocks Rally Broadly After Ministry of Commerce Meeting Signals Support - Gasgoo
02/10/2026
12
Commerce.com Inc Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic ...
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow72.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities105.3 M

Commerce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  454.00  in Commerce on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (208.00) from holding Commerce or give up 45.81% of portfolio value over 90 days. Commerce is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.7763% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Commerce, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Commerce is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.57 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.35 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Commerce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Commerce Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.46 90 days 2.46 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Commerce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Commerce probability density function shows the probability of Commerce Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.37 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Commerce will likely underperform. Additionally Commerce has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Commerce Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Commerce

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Commerce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.375.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.445.08
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.080.09
Details

Commerce Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Commerce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Commerce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Commerce, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Commerce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

Commerce Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Commerce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Commerce can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Commerce has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Commerce was previously known as Bigcommerce Holdings and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol BIGC.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 332.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 267.07 M.
Commerce has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Commerce.com Inc Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic ...

Commerce Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Commerce Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Commerce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Commerce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments178.2 M

Commerce Fundamentals Growth

Commerce Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Commerce, and Commerce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Commerce Stock performance.

About Commerce Performance

By analyzing Commerce's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Commerce's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Commerce has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Commerce has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 47.10  51.90 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.09)(0.09)
Return On Capital Employed(0.15)(0.16)
Return On Assets(0.07)(0.08)
Return On Equity(0.93)(0.98)

Things to note about Commerce performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Commerce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Commerce help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Commerce has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Commerce was previously known as Bigcommerce Holdings and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol BIGC.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 332.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 267.07 M.
Commerce has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Commerce.com Inc Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic ...
Evaluating Commerce's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Commerce's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Commerce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Commerce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Commerce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Commerce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Commerce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Commerce's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Commerce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Commerce's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Commerce's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Commerce Stock analysis

When running Commerce's price analysis, check to measure Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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