Commerce Stock Performance
| CMRC Stock | 3.18 0.09 2.75% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.11, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Commerce will likely underperform. At this point, Commerce has a negative expected return of -0.61%. Please make sure to confirm Commerce's kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Commerce performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Commerce has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 72.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 105.3 M |
Commerce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 474.00 in Commerce on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (156.00) from holding Commerce or give up 32.91% of portfolio value over 90 days. Commerce is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.9421% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Commerce, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Commerce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Commerce Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.18 | 90 days | 3.18 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Commerce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Commerce probability density function shows the probability of Commerce Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.11 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Commerce will likely underperform. Additionally Commerce has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Commerce Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Commerce
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Commerce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Commerce Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Commerce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Commerce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Commerce, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Commerce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.77 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Commerce Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Commerce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Commerce can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Commerce has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Commerce was previously known as BIGC Old and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol BIGC. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 332.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 267.07 M. | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Commerce Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Commerce Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Commerce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Commerce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 178.2 M |
Commerce Fundamentals Growth
Commerce Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Commerce, and Commerce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Commerce Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.37 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0093 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 399.3 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 81.26 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 8.76 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.20 X | ||||
| Revenue | 332.93 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (7.1 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 220.58 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.53 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 26.25 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.17) X | ||||
| Total Asset | 340.29 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (621.69 M) | ||||
About Commerce Performance
By analyzing Commerce's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Commerce's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Commerce has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Commerce has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Things to note about Commerce performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Commerce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Commerce help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Commerce has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Commerce was previously known as BIGC Old and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol BIGC. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 332.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 267.07 M. | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
- Analyzing Commerce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Commerce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Commerce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Commerce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Commerce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Commerce's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Commerce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Commerce Stock analysis
When running Commerce's price analysis, check to measure Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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