Douglas Elliman Stock Performance

DOUG Stock  USD 2.29  0.01  0.44%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.25, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Douglas Elliman will likely underperform. At this point, Douglas Elliman has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to confirm Douglas Elliman's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Douglas Elliman performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Douglas Elliman has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.87)
Five Day Return
1.79
Ten Year Return
(80.26)
All Time Return
(80.26)
Last Split Factor
105:100
Dividend Date
2023-03-31
Ex Dividend Date
2023-03-22
Last Split Date
2023-06-21
1
Acquisition by Bartels Patrick J Jr of 15200 shares of Douglas Elliman at 1.8441 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/05/2025
2
Disposition of 75256 shares by J Kirkland of Douglas Elliman at 2.755 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
3
For me, this is a return grounded in purpose - Heather Domi
12/18/2025
4
Published on 2025-12-31 120312 - moha.gov.vn
12/30/2025
5
Why Douglas Elliman Inc. stock remains undervalued - 2025 Trading Volume Trends AI Driven Price Predictions - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
6
ALX Oncology Holdings Leads Our Selection Of 3 Promising Penny Stocks
01/12/2026
7
OSG Announces Appointment of Doug OReilly as Chief Information Officer and Mark Marin as Chief Revenue Officer
01/22/2026
8
Douglas Elliman participera au MIPIM Global Urban Festival
02/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow129.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-6.8 M

Douglas Elliman Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  262.00  in Douglas Elliman on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (33.50) from holding Douglas Elliman or give up 12.79% of portfolio value over 90 days. Douglas Elliman is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.5263% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 31% of stocks are less volatile than Douglas, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Douglas Elliman is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.63 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of volatility.

Douglas Elliman Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Douglas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.29 90 days 2.29 
about 92.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Douglas Elliman to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.93 (This Douglas Elliman probability density function shows the probability of Douglas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.25 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Douglas Elliman will likely underperform. Additionally Douglas Elliman has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Douglas Elliman Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Douglas Elliman

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Douglas Elliman. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Douglas Elliman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.295.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.676.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.496.05
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.913.203.55
Details

Douglas Elliman Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Douglas Elliman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Douglas Elliman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Douglas Elliman, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Douglas Elliman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Douglas Elliman Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Douglas Elliman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Douglas Elliman can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Douglas Elliman generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Douglas Elliman has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Douglas Elliman has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 995.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.03 B.
Douglas Elliman currently holds about 204.62 M in cash with (25.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Douglas Elliman has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Douglas Elliman participera au MIPIM Global Urban Festival

Douglas Elliman Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Douglas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Douglas Elliman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Douglas Elliman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments145.5 M

Douglas Elliman Fundamentals Growth

Douglas Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Douglas Elliman, and Douglas Elliman fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Douglas Stock performance.

About Douglas Elliman Performance

By analyzing Douglas Elliman's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Douglas Elliman's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Douglas Elliman has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Douglas Elliman has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.23)(0.21)
Return On Capital Employed(0.20)(0.19)
Return On Assets(0.18)(0.17)
Return On Equity(0.54)(0.51)

Things to note about Douglas Elliman performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Douglas Elliman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Douglas Elliman help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Douglas Elliman generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Douglas Elliman has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Douglas Elliman has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 995.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.03 B.
Douglas Elliman currently holds about 204.62 M in cash with (25.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Douglas Elliman has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Douglas Elliman participera au MIPIM Global Urban Festival
Evaluating Douglas Elliman's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Douglas Elliman's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Douglas Elliman's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Douglas Elliman's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Douglas Elliman's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Douglas Elliman's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Douglas Elliman's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Douglas Elliman's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Douglas Elliman's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Douglas Elliman's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Douglas Elliman's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Douglas Stock analysis

When running Douglas Elliman's price analysis, check to measure Douglas Elliman's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Douglas Elliman is operating at the current time. Most of Douglas Elliman's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Douglas Elliman's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Douglas Elliman's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Douglas Elliman to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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