Douglas Elliman Stock Forward View
| DOUG Stock | USD 2.70 0.09 3.23% |
Douglas Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Douglas Elliman's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 31st of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Douglas Elliman's share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Douglas Elliman, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1 | Wall Street Target Price 3.2 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.08) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Douglas Elliman hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Douglas Elliman from the perspective of Douglas Elliman response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Douglas Elliman using Douglas Elliman's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Douglas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Douglas Elliman's stock price.
Douglas Elliman Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Douglas Elliman's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Douglas. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Douglas Elliman stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 2.4915 | Short Percent 0.0104 | Short Ratio 2 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 2.5456 |
Douglas Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Douglas Elliman on the next trading day is expected to be 2.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.65.Douglas Elliman Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Douglas Elliman's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Douglas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Douglas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Douglas Elliman. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Douglas Elliman's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Douglas Elliman.
Douglas Elliman Implied Volatility | 1.1 |
Douglas Elliman's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Douglas Elliman stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Douglas Elliman's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Douglas Elliman stock will not fluctuate a lot when Douglas Elliman's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Douglas Elliman on the next trading day is expected to be 2.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.65. Douglas Elliman after-hype prediction price | USD 2.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Douglas Elliman to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Douglas Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Douglas Elliman's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Douglas Elliman's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Douglas Elliman stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Douglas Elliman's open interest, investors have to compare it to Douglas Elliman's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Douglas Elliman is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Douglas. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Douglas Elliman Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Douglas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Douglas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Douglas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Douglas Elliman Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Douglas Elliman's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 136.3 M | Current Value 143 M | Quarterly Volatility 77.2 M |
Douglas Elliman Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Douglas Elliman on the next trading day is expected to be 2.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Douglas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Douglas Elliman's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Douglas Elliman Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Douglas Elliman | Douglas Elliman Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Douglas Elliman Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Douglas Elliman's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Douglas Elliman's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.00, respectively. We have considered Douglas Elliman's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Douglas Elliman stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Douglas Elliman stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5817 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0762 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0298 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.6505 |
Predictive Modules for Douglas Elliman
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Douglas Elliman. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Douglas Elliman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Douglas Elliman After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Douglas Elliman at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Douglas Elliman or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Douglas Elliman, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Douglas Elliman Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Douglas Elliman's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Douglas Elliman's historical news coverage. Douglas Elliman's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.14 and 6.12, respectively. We have considered Douglas Elliman's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Douglas Elliman is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Douglas Elliman is based on 3 months time horizon.
Douglas Elliman Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Douglas Elliman is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Douglas Elliman backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Douglas Elliman, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 3.39 | 0.05 | 0.30 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
|
Douglas Elliman Hype Timeline
Douglas Elliman is currently traded for 2.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.3. Douglas is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Douglas Elliman is about 239.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.40. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Douglas Elliman was currently reported as 1.29. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.7. Douglas Elliman last dividend was issued on the 22nd of March 2023. The entity had 105:100 split on the 21st of June 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Douglas Elliman to cross-verify your projections.Douglas Elliman Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Douglas Elliman's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Douglas Elliman's future price movements. Getting to know how Douglas Elliman's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Douglas Elliman may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRNO | Murano Global Investments | (0.03) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 32.35 | (18.96) | 72.43 | |
| WHLR | Wheeler Real Estate | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 12.33 | (20.89) | 125.65 | |
| NEN | New England Realty | (1.63) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.26 | (2.46) | 6.28 | |
| SRG | Seritage Growth Properties | 0.15 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.37 | (4.30) | 12.56 | |
| AOMR | Angel Oak Mortgage | (0.13) | 7 per month | 1.48 | (0.01) | 1.83 | (2.27) | 6.14 | |
| SEG | Seaport Entertainment Group | (13.29) | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.08 | (4.32) | 9.38 | |
| MITT | AG Mortgage Investment | 0.10 | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.16 | 2.80 | (1.85) | 10.23 | |
| AMBR | Amber International Holding | (0.13) | 8 per month | 6.56 | 0.07 | 15.03 | (12.39) | 70.67 | |
| OZ | Belpointe PREP LLC | 0.87 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.01 | (3.79) | 18.80 | |
| RMAX | Re Max Holding | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.56 | (4.11) | 14.02 |
Other Forecasting Options for Douglas Elliman
For every potential investor in Douglas, whether a beginner or expert, Douglas Elliman's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Douglas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Douglas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Douglas Elliman's price trends.Douglas Elliman Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Douglas Elliman stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Douglas Elliman could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Douglas Elliman by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Douglas Elliman Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Douglas Elliman stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Douglas Elliman shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Douglas Elliman stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Douglas Elliman entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Douglas Elliman Risk Indicators
The analysis of Douglas Elliman's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Douglas Elliman's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting douglas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.41 | |||
| Variance | 11.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Douglas Elliman
The number of cover stories for Douglas Elliman depends on current market conditions and Douglas Elliman's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Douglas Elliman is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Douglas Elliman's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Douglas Elliman Short Properties
Douglas Elliman's future price predictability will typically decrease when Douglas Elliman's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Douglas Elliman often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Douglas Elliman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Douglas Elliman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 145.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Douglas Elliman to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Douglas Stock please use our How to Invest in Douglas Elliman guide.You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Can Real Estate Management & Development industry sustain growth momentum? Does Douglas have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Douglas Elliman. Projected growth potential of Douglas fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Douglas Elliman demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | Earnings Share (0.70) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
Douglas Elliman's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Douglas's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Douglas Elliman's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Douglas Elliman's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Douglas Elliman's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Douglas Elliman should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Douglas Elliman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.