Douglas Elliman Stock Performance
| DOUG Stock | USD 2.50 0.09 3.73% |
Douglas Elliman has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.2, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Douglas Elliman will likely underperform. Douglas Elliman right now shows a risk of 3.56%. Please confirm Douglas Elliman value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Douglas Elliman will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Douglas Elliman are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, Douglas Elliman may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 3.73 | Five Day Return (7.06) | Year To Date Return 9.65 | Ten Year Return (78.35) | All Time Return (78.35) |
Last Split Factor 105:100 | Dividend Date 2023-03-31 | Ex Dividend Date 2023-03-22 | Last Split Date 2023-06-21 |
1 | Disposition of 196750 shares by Michael Liebowitz of Douglas Elliman at 2.41 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/24/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Weitz Perry of 58594 shares of Douglas Elliman subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/26/2025 |
3 | Douglas Elliman Sells Property Management Business - MSN | 11/28/2025 |
4 | Douglas Elliman Announces Expansion into French Alps | 12/03/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Bartels Patrick J Jr of 15200 shares of Douglas Elliman at 1.8441 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/05/2025 |
6 | Azora Capital LP Takes 1.42 Million Position in Douglas Elliman Inc. DOUG - MarketBeat | 12/10/2025 |
7 | Disposition of 75256 shares by J Kirkland of Douglas Elliman at 2.755 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/15/2025 |
8 | Douglas Elliman Appoints Natalie Passerini as Chief Marketing Officer | 12/18/2025 |
9 | Douglas Elliman Inc. Short Interest Up 24.0 percent in December - MarketBeat | 12/31/2025 |
10 | The Federal Reserve Just Delivered Spectacular News for This Under-the-Radar Real Estate Stock - AOL.com | 01/15/2026 |
11 | Performance One Media Names Doug Pfaff Chief Revenue Officer | 01/27/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 129.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -6.8 M |
Douglas Elliman Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 239.00 in Douglas Elliman on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 11.00 from holding Douglas Elliman or generate 4.6% return on investment over 90 days. Douglas Elliman is currently generating 0.1362% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.561% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 31% of stocks are less volatile than Douglas, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Douglas Elliman Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Douglas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.50 | 90 days | 2.50 | about 67.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Douglas Elliman to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.96 (This Douglas Elliman probability density function shows the probability of Douglas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Douglas Elliman Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Douglas Elliman
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Douglas Elliman. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Douglas Elliman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Douglas Elliman Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Douglas Elliman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Douglas Elliman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Douglas Elliman, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Douglas Elliman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Douglas Elliman Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Douglas Elliman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Douglas Elliman can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Douglas Elliman had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Douglas Elliman has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 995.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.03 B. | |
| Douglas Elliman currently holds about 204.62 M in cash with (25.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Douglas Elliman has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Performance One Media Names Doug Pfaff Chief Revenue Officer |
Douglas Elliman Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Douglas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Douglas Elliman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Douglas Elliman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 145.5 M |
Douglas Elliman Fundamentals Growth
Douglas Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Douglas Elliman, and Douglas Elliman fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Douglas Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.42 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0305 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.06) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.01 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 221.86 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 88.82 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 5.45 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.93 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.22 X | ||||
| Revenue | 995.63 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.03 B | ||||
| EBITDA | (65.21 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (77 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 204.62 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.52 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 156.28 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.53 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.48 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.29 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (25.96 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.70) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 222.05 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 493.89 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (123.87 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 103.91 M | ||||
About Douglas Elliman Performance
By analyzing Douglas Elliman's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Douglas Elliman's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Douglas Elliman has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Douglas Elliman has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.23) | (0.21) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.20) | (0.19) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.18) | (0.17) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.54) | (0.51) |
Things to note about Douglas Elliman performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Douglas Elliman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Douglas Elliman help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Douglas Elliman had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Douglas Elliman has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 995.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.03 B. | |
| Douglas Elliman currently holds about 204.62 M in cash with (25.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Douglas Elliman has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Performance One Media Names Doug Pfaff Chief Revenue Officer |
- Analyzing Douglas Elliman's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Douglas Elliman's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Douglas Elliman's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Douglas Elliman's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Douglas Elliman's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Douglas Elliman's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Douglas Elliman's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
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When running Douglas Elliman's price analysis, check to measure Douglas Elliman's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Douglas Elliman is operating at the current time. Most of Douglas Elliman's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Douglas Elliman's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Douglas Elliman's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Douglas Elliman to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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