Draganfly Stock Performance

DPRO Stock  USD 8.39  0.13  1.53%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.24, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Draganfly will likely underperform. At this point, Draganfly has a negative expected return of -0.0143%. Please make sure to confirm Draganfly's potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if Draganfly performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Draganfly has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Draganfly is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow3.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-23.3 K
Free Cash Flow-12 M

Draganfly Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  981.00  in Draganfly on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (142.00) from holding Draganfly or give up 14.48% of portfolio value over 90 days. Draganfly is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 7.0537% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 63% of stocks are less volatile than Draganfly, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Draganfly is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 9.42 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Draganfly Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Draganfly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.39 90 days 8.39 
about 36.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Draganfly to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 36.05 (This Draganfly probability density function shows the probability of Draganfly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.24 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Draganfly will likely underperform. Additionally Draganfly has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Draganfly Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Draganfly

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Draganfly. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.348.3915.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.057.1014.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.147.2014.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.638.5910.54
Details

Draganfly Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Draganfly is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Draganfly's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Draganfly, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Draganfly within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Draganfly Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Draganfly for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Draganfly can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Draganfly generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Draganfly has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Draganfly has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.08 M.
Draganfly currently holds about 12.45 M in cash with (11.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.37.

Draganfly Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Draganfly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Draganfly's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Draganfly's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.3 M

Draganfly Fundamentals Growth

Draganfly Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Draganfly, and Draganfly fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Draganfly Stock performance.

About Draganfly Performance

By examining Draganfly's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Draganfly's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Draganfly is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Draganfly Inc. manufactures and sells commercial unmanned aerial vehicles worldwide. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada. Draganfly is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Draganfly performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Draganfly for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Draganfly help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Draganfly generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Draganfly has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Draganfly has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.08 M.
Draganfly currently holds about 12.45 M in cash with (11.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.37.
Evaluating Draganfly's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Draganfly's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Draganfly's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Draganfly's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Draganfly's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Draganfly's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Draganfly's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Draganfly's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Draganfly's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Draganfly's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Draganfly's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Draganfly offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Draganfly's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Draganfly Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Draganfly Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Draganfly. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
To learn how to invest in Draganfly Stock, please use our How to Invest in Draganfly guide.
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Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Draganfly diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Draganfly. Projected growth potential of Draganfly fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Draganfly data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Draganfly requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Draganfly's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Draganfly's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Draganfly's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Draganfly's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Draganfly should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Draganfly's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.