Graftech International Stock Performance

EAF Stock  USD 6.81  0.22  3.34%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.78, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, GrafTech International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding GrafTech International is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, GrafTech International has a negative expected return of -0.86%. Please make sure to check out GrafTech International's total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if GrafTech International performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days GrafTech International has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.55
Five Day Return
12.66
Year To Date Return
(56.64)
Ten Year Return
(95.07)
All Time Return
(95.07)
Last Split Factor
1:10
Dividend Date
2023-06-30
Ex Dividend Date
2023-05-30
Last Split Date
2025-08-29
1
Acquisition by Shivaram Sachin M of 1853 shares of GrafTech International subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
2
Cwm LLC Sells 63,933 Shares of GrafTech International Ltd. EAF - MarketBeat
01/23/2026
3
GrafTech International Ltd.s recent 10 percent pullback adds to one-year year losses, institutional owners may take drastic measures
01/27/2026
4
Yacktman Asset Management LP Sells 9,757,248 Shares of GrafTech International Ltd. EAF - MarketBeat
02/02/2026
5
GrafTech Q4 Earnings Snapshot
02/06/2026
6
RBC Capital Keeps Their Hold Rating on GrafTech International - The Globe and Mail
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow256.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-38.3 M

GrafTech International Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,448  in GrafTech International on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (767.00) from holding GrafTech International or give up 52.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. GrafTech International is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 7.8106% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 70% of stocks are less volatile than GrafTech, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon GrafTech International is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 10.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

GrafTech International Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of GrafTech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.81 90 days 6.81 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GrafTech International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This GrafTech International probability density function shows the probability of GrafTech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon GrafTech International has a beta of 0.78 suggesting as returns on the market go up, GrafTech International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GrafTech International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GrafTech International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   GrafTech International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GrafTech International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GrafTech International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.346.8114.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.336.5414.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.909.6817.46
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.879.7510.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GrafTech International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GrafTech International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GrafTech International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GrafTech International.

GrafTech International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GrafTech International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GrafTech International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GrafTech International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GrafTech International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
3.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

GrafTech International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GrafTech International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GrafTech International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GrafTech International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GrafTech International has high historical volatility and very poor performance
GrafTech International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 504.13 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (219.84 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (15.68 M).
GrafTech International has about 138.43 M in cash with (81.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26.
Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: RBC Capital Keeps Their Hold Rating on GrafTech International - The Globe and Mail

GrafTech International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GrafTech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GrafTech International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GrafTech International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding260 M
Cash And Short Term Investments138.4 M

GrafTech International Fundamentals Growth

GrafTech Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of GrafTech International, and GrafTech International fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on GrafTech Stock performance.

About GrafTech International Performance

By analyzing GrafTech International's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into GrafTech International's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if GrafTech International has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if GrafTech International has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 157.77  121.39 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.21)(0.20)
Return On Capital Employed(0.09)(0.08)
Return On Assets(0.21)(0.20)
Return On Equity 0.85  0.89 

Things to note about GrafTech International performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about GrafTech International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for GrafTech International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GrafTech International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GrafTech International has high historical volatility and very poor performance
GrafTech International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 504.13 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (219.84 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (15.68 M).
GrafTech International has about 138.43 M in cash with (81.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26.
Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: RBC Capital Keeps Their Hold Rating on GrafTech International - The Globe and Mail
Evaluating GrafTech International's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate GrafTech International's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing GrafTech International's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether GrafTech International's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining GrafTech International's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating GrafTech International's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of GrafTech International's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of GrafTech International's stock. These opinions can provide insight into GrafTech International's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating GrafTech International's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact GrafTech International's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for GrafTech Stock analysis

When running GrafTech International's price analysis, check to measure GrafTech International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GrafTech International is operating at the current time. Most of GrafTech International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GrafTech International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GrafTech International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GrafTech International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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