Elf Beauty Stock Performance
| ELF Stock | USD 88.04 0.76 0.87% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, ELF Beauty holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.8, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ELF Beauty will likely underperform. Please check ELF Beauty's maximum drawdown, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether ELF Beauty's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ELF Beauty are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady essential indicators, ELF Beauty reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 7.09 | Five Day Return 13.28 | Year To Date Return 12.17 | Ten Year Return 229.36 | All Time Return 229.36 |
1 | Disposition of 33038 shares by Tarang Amin of ELF Beauty at 131.8583 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/21/2025 |
2 | Atmosphera Appoints Beauty Industry Impact Leader Mia Davis as Chief Impact Officer | 01/20/2026 |
3 | Global Collagen Supplement Market Projected to Hit USD 3.3 Billion by 2035 Beauty-from-Within and Healthy Aging Trends Drive 6.4 percent CAGR | 01/27/2026 |
4 | e.l.f. Beauty Reports Strong Q4 CY2025 | 02/04/2026 |
5 | ELF Q4 Deep Dive Rhode Acquisition and Innovation Drive Growth, Margin Focus Ahead | 02/05/2026 |
6 | A Look At E.l.f. Beauty Valuation After Strong Q3 Results And Raised Outlook | 02/06/2026 |
7 | e.l.f. Beauty Jumps After Rating Shift, NYSE Composite | 02/09/2026 |
8 | e.l.f. Beauty Announces Results for 3 and 9 Months ended December 31, 2025 | 02/10/2026 |
9 | e.l.f. Beauty Super Bowl Telenovela Ad Highlights Latin Growth Story | 02/11/2026 |
10 | e.l.f. Beauty Is Down 9.2 percent After Raising 2026 Outlook And Completing Share Buyback - Has The Bull Case Changed | 02/12/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 108.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -19.1 M |
ELF Beauty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 6,842 in ELF Beauty on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,962 from holding ELF Beauty or generate 28.68% return on investment over 90 days. ELF Beauty is generating 0.4804% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.4721% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 31% of stocks are less volatile than ELF, and above 91% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
ELF Beauty Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of ELF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 88.04 | 90 days | 88.04 | about 9.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ELF Beauty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.2 (This ELF Beauty probability density function shows the probability of ELF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
ELF Beauty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ELF Beauty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ELF Beauty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ELF Beauty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ELF Beauty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ELF Beauty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ELF Beauty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ELF Beauty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
ELF Beauty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ELF Beauty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ELF Beauty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ELF Beauty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| ELF Beauty has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: e.l.f. Beauty Is Down 9.2 percent After Raising 2026 Outlook And Completing Share Buyback - Has The Bull Case Changed |
ELF Beauty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ELF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ELF Beauty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ELF Beauty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 148.7 M |
ELF Beauty Fundamentals Growth
ELF Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ELF Beauty, and ELF Beauty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ELF Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0611 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 5.54 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 59.05 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 483.60 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 4.14 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.20 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.31 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.07 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 206.25 M | ||||
| Net Income | 112.09 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 148.69 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.38 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 313.02 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.34 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.51 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 19.68 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 133.84 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.77 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 4.86 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.25 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (182.25 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 363.5 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 109.53 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 44.93 M | ||||
About ELF Beauty Performance
By analyzing ELF Beauty's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into ELF Beauty's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if ELF Beauty has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ELF Beauty has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 161.56 | 148.49 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.09 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.07 | 0.06 |
Things to note about ELF Beauty performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about ELF Beauty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ELF Beauty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ELF Beauty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| ELF Beauty has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: e.l.f. Beauty Is Down 9.2 percent After Raising 2026 Outlook And Completing Share Buyback - Has The Bull Case Changed |
- Analyzing ELF Beauty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ELF Beauty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining ELF Beauty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating ELF Beauty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ELF Beauty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ELF Beauty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ELF Beauty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for ELF Stock analysis
When running ELF Beauty's price analysis, check to measure ELF Beauty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ELF Beauty is operating at the current time. Most of ELF Beauty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ELF Beauty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ELF Beauty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ELF Beauty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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