Elf Beauty Stock Performance
| ELF Stock | USD 84.99 0.04 0.05% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.31, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ELF Beauty will likely underperform. At this point, ELF Beauty has a negative expected return of -0.4%. Please make sure to confirm ELF Beauty's skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if ELF Beauty performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days ELF Beauty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.05) | Five Day Return (9.16) | Year To Date Return 9.23 | Ten Year Return 220.72 | All Time Return 220.72 |
1 | Disposition of 33038 shares by Tarang Amin of ELF Beauty at 131.8583 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/21/2025 |
2 | Heres How Much You Would Have Made Owning e.l.f. Beauty Stock In The Last 5 Years | 01/09/2026 |
3 | Beauty retailer Sephora UK to open first store on island of Ireland | 01/13/2026 |
4 | Is It Too Late To Consider e.l.f. Beauty After Sharp Long-Term Gains | 01/15/2026 |
5 | e.l.f. Beauty Draws 4.8 Million Buy Even as Shares Sit Nearly 25 percent Below Last Year | 01/21/2026 |
6 | e.l.f Beauty, Inc. Maintains Analyst Attention With 2026 Growth Potential | 01/22/2026 |
7 | Stocks Brush Off Political Tensions As Megacap Earnings Loom | 01/26/2026 |
8 | CLn Skin Cares ProStrength Wash Named 2025 Top Pick in Skin Anarchy Beauty Awards | 01/27/2026 |
9 | Analysts Estimate e.l.f. Beauty to Report a Decline in Earnings What to Look Out for | 01/28/2026 |
10 | Womens Power Series Returns to The Ritz-Carlton, South Beach on February 27, with Leaders Across Hospitality, Beauty Wellness, and Sports | 01/29/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 108.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -19.1 M |
ELF Beauty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 12,094 in ELF Beauty on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3,595) from holding ELF Beauty or give up 29.73% of portfolio value over 90 days. ELF Beauty is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 5.2425% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 47% of stocks are less volatile than ELF, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
ELF Beauty Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of ELF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 84.99 | 90 days | 84.99 | about 50.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ELF Beauty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.59 (This ELF Beauty probability density function shows the probability of ELF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.31 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ELF Beauty will likely underperform. Additionally ELF Beauty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ELF Beauty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ELF Beauty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ELF Beauty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ELF Beauty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ELF Beauty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ELF Beauty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ELF Beauty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ELF Beauty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
ELF Beauty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ELF Beauty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ELF Beauty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ELF Beauty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ELF Beauty has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ELF Beauty has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Womens Power Series Returns to The Ritz-Carlton, South Beach on February 27, with Leaders Across Hospitality, Beauty Wellness, and Sports |
ELF Beauty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ELF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ELF Beauty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ELF Beauty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 148.7 M |
ELF Beauty Fundamentals Growth
ELF Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ELF Beauty, and ELF Beauty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ELF Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0877 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0454 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 5.79 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 59.64 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 483.60 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 4.45 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.66 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.31 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 973.74 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 206.25 M | ||||
| Net Income | 112.09 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 148.69 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.38 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 313.02 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.34 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.51 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 19.16 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 133.84 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.40 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 5.06 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.25 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (182.25 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 363.5 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 109.53 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 44.93 M | ||||
About ELF Beauty Performance
By analyzing ELF Beauty's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into ELF Beauty's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if ELF Beauty has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ELF Beauty has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 161.56 | 148.49 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.09 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.07 | 0.06 |
Things to note about ELF Beauty performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about ELF Beauty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ELF Beauty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ELF Beauty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ELF Beauty has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ELF Beauty has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Womens Power Series Returns to The Ritz-Carlton, South Beach on February 27, with Leaders Across Hospitality, Beauty Wellness, and Sports |
- Analyzing ELF Beauty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ELF Beauty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining ELF Beauty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating ELF Beauty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ELF Beauty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ELF Beauty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ELF Beauty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for ELF Stock analysis
When running ELF Beauty's price analysis, check to measure ELF Beauty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ELF Beauty is operating at the current time. Most of ELF Beauty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ELF Beauty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ELF Beauty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ELF Beauty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk |