Comfort Systems Usa Stock Performance

FIX Stock  USD 1,176  34.04  2.98%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Comfort Systems holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.47, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Comfort Systems will likely underperform. Please check Comfort Systems' semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Comfort Systems' price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Comfort Systems USA are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Comfort Systems showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.51)
Five Day Return
1.38
Year To Date Return
13.8
Ten Year Return
3.9 K
All Time Return
K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0017
Payout Ratio
0.0998
Forward Dividend Rate
1.95
Dividend Date
2025-11-24
Ex Dividend Date
2025-11-13
 
Comfort Systems dividend paid on 24th of November 2025
11/24/2025
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01/08/2026
4
Meritage Portfolio Management Sells 2,813 Shares of Comfort Systems USA, Inc. FIX
01/16/2026
5
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01/21/2026
6
Comfort Systems USA Given New 1,196.00 Price Target at Stifel Nicolaus
01/26/2026
7
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8
Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Banking Corp Has 11.17 Million Stock Position in Comfort Systems USA, Inc. FIX
01/29/2026
9
Comfort Systems USA Reaches New 1-Year High Whats Next
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow205.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-343.5 M

Comfort Systems Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  95,537  in Comfort Systems USA on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  18,673  from holding Comfort Systems USA or generate 19.55% return on investment over 90 days. Comfort Systems USA is generating 0.3329% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.9928% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Comfort, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Comfort Systems is expected to generate 4.03 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.03 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Comfort Systems Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Comfort Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,176 90 days 1,176 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Comfort Systems to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Comfort Systems USA probability density function shows the probability of Comfort Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.47 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Comfort Systems will likely underperform. Additionally Comfort Systems USA has an alpha of 0.2223, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Comfort Systems Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Comfort Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comfort Systems USA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1411,1441,147
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,1181,1211,256
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0901,0931,096
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1,0541,1581,286
Details

Comfort Systems Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Comfort Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Comfort Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Comfort Systems USA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Comfort Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.47
σ
Overall volatility
74.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Comfort Systems Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Comfort Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Comfort Systems USA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Comfort Systems USA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Comfort Systems USA has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Comfort Systems USA Reaches New 1-Year High Whats Next

Comfort Systems Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Comfort Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Comfort Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comfort Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments549.9 M

Comfort Systems Fundamentals Growth

Comfort Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Comfort Systems, and Comfort Systems fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Comfort Stock performance.

About Comfort Systems Performance

Evaluating Comfort Systems' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Comfort Systems has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Comfort Systems has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 4.48  5.65 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.14  0.15 
Return On Capital Employed 0.32  0.33 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.28  0.29 

Things to note about Comfort Systems USA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Comfort Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Comfort Systems USA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Comfort Systems USA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Comfort Systems USA has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Comfort Systems USA Reaches New 1-Year High Whats Next
Evaluating Comfort Systems' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Comfort Systems' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Comfort Systems' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Comfort Systems' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Comfort Systems' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Comfort Systems' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Comfort Systems' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Comfort Systems' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Comfort Systems' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Comfort Systems' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Comfort Systems' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Comfort Stock Analysis

When running Comfort Systems' price analysis, check to measure Comfort Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comfort Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Comfort Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comfort Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comfort Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comfort Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.