German American Bancorp Stock Performance

GABC Stock  USD 43.23  0.17  0.39%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, German American holds a performance score of 11. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.72, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, German American's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding German American is expected to be smaller as well. Please check German American's sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether German American's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in German American Bancorp are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather fragile fundamental drivers, German American exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

Five Day Return
(3.84)
Year To Date Return
10.75
Ten Year Return
111.6
All Time Return
715.53
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0274
Payout Ratio
0.3882
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
1.18
Dividend Date
2026-02-20
1
Is German American Bancorp Inc. stock cheap vs fundamentals - Weekly Risk Summary Precise Buy Zone Tips - newser.com
11/18/2025
 
German American dividend paid on 20th of November 2025
11/20/2025
2
Acquisition by Seger Andrew M of tradable shares of German American at .048 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
3
Acquisition by Seger Andrew M of tradable shares of German American at 41.4541 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
4
Acquisition by Bawel Zachary W of tradable shares of German American at 40.6046 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/15/2026
5
Acquisition by Ellspermann Susan J of tradable shares of German American at 40.6046 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/16/2026
6
Acquisition by Ryan Christina M of tradable shares of German American at 37.7829 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/23/2026
7
German American Bancorp Q4 Earnings Snapshot
01/26/2026
8
Compared to Estimates, German American Bancorp Q4 Earnings A Look at Key Metrics
01/27/2026
9
Does German American Bancorps Dividend Hike Reflect Durable Earnings Power Or Payout Stretch
01/28/2026
10
First Financial Corporation Indiana German American Bancorp Critical Comparison
02/02/2026
11
German American Bancorp Valuation Review After Earnings Beat And Dividend Increase
02/05/2026
12
German American Bank Receives Forbes Recognition as Top 10 in Americas Best Banks
02/10/2026
13
Is German American Bancorp Pricing Reflect Its Recent Share Rebound And Earnings Power
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow115.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-82.4 M

German American Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,785  in German American Bancorp on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  521.00  from holding German American Bancorp or generate 13.76% return on investment over 90 days. German American Bancorp is currently generating 0.2278% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.6112% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than German, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days German American is expected to generate 2.07 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.07 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

German American Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of German Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 43.23 90 days 43.23 
roughly 2.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of German American to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.81 (This German American Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of German Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days German American has a beta of 0.72. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, German American average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding German American Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally German American Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0974, implying that it can generate a 0.0974 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   German American Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for German American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as German American Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.6243.2344.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.7544.6846.29
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
43.0747.3352.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.860.890.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as German American. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against German American's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, German American's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in German American Bancorp.

German American Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. German American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the German American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold German American Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of German American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
1.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

German American Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of German American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for German American Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

German American Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of German Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential German American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. German American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments118.9 M

German American Fundamentals Growth

German Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of German American, and German American fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on German Stock performance.

About German American Performance

By analyzing German American's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into German American's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if German American has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if German American has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.09 

Things to note about German American Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about German American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for German American Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating German American's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate German American's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing German American's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether German American's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining German American's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating German American's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of German American's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of German American's stock. These opinions can provide insight into German American's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating German American's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact German American's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for German Stock analysis

When running German American's price analysis, check to measure German American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy German American is operating at the current time. Most of German American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of German American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move German American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of German American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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