Guild Holdings Co Stock Performance
| GHLD Stock | USD 13.65 0.10 0.73% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.27, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Guild Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Guild Holdings is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Guild Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to check out Guild Holdings' jensen alpha, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Guild Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
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Over the last 90 days Guild Holdings Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.25) | Five Day Return (1.97) | Year To Date Return (3.75) | Ten Year Return (8.57) | All Time Return (8.57) |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0419 | Payout Ratio 0.3759 | Dividend Date 2024-06-06 | Ex Dividend Date 2024-05-17 |
1 | Acquisition by Mary McGarry of 4998 shares of Guild Holdings at 16.1206 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/13/2024 |
2 | Bridges Investment Management Inc. Acquires New Position in Guild Holdings - MarketBeat | 09/20/2024 |
3 | Disposition of 8572 shares by Edward Bryant of Guild Holdings at 10.36 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/26/2024 |
4 | Disposition of 4496 shares by Terry Schmidt of Guild Holdings at 13.83 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/27/2024 |
5 | Guild Holdings Co Q2 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth in Originations and ... | 10/09/2024 |
6 | Guild Holdings Co Shares Down 3.02 percent on Oct 14 | 10/14/2024 |
7 | Disposition of 15715 shares by Desiree Kramer of Guild Holdings at 14.92 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/22/2024 |
8 | Guild Sees Large Volume Increase Still a Buy | 10/25/2024 |
9 | Guild Holdings Co Shares Up 3.5 percent on Nov 4 | 11/04/2024 |
10 | Guild Holdings Company Reports Third Quarter 2024 Results | 11/06/2024 |
11 | Guild Holdings Co Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Market Volatility with ... | 11/07/2024 |
12 | Guild Holdings Company Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript | 11/08/2024 |
13 | 3 US Growth Stocks With At Least 10 percent Insider Ownership - Simply Wall St | 11/19/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 146.8 M |
Guild |
Guild Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,657 in Guild Holdings Co on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (292.00) from holding Guild Holdings Co or give up 17.62% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guild Holdings Co is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.2448% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Guild, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Guild Holdings Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guild Holdings' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Guild Holdings Co, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guild Holdings' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.1237
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | GHLD |
Estimated Market Risk
| 2.24 actual daily | 19 81% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.28 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.12 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Guild Holdings is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guild Holdings by adding Guild Holdings to a well-diversified portfolio.
Guild Holdings Fundamentals Growth
Guild Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guild Holdings, and Guild Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guild Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0773 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0035 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.11) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.29) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 3.76 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 21.55 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 2.09 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.74 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.03 X | |||
| Revenue | 718.13 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 1.21 B | |||
| EBITDA | 59.49 M | |||
| Net Income | (39.01 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 263.68 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 4.33 X | |||
| Total Debt | 526.78 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 1.66 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.40 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 18.85 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (91.72 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.54) X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 850.93 M | |||
| Total Asset | 3.68 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 1.14 B | |||
About Guild Holdings Performance
By analyzing Guild Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Guild Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Guild Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guild Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 0.15 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.02) | (0.02) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.18 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.03) | (0.03) |
Things to note about Guild Holdings performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guild Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Guild Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guild Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guild Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 718.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.21 B. | |
| Guild Holdings Co currently holds about 263.68 M in cash with (91.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.33. | |
| Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 US Growth Stocks With At Least 10 percent Insider Ownership - Simply Wall St |
- Analyzing Guild Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guild Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Guild Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Guild Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guild Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guild Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Guild Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Guild Stock analysis
When running Guild Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Guild Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guild Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Guild Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guild Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guild Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guild Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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