Guild Holdings Co Stock Analysis

GHLD Stock  USD 13.79  0.14  1.03%   
Guild Holdings Co is overvalued with Real Value of 13.04 and Target Price of 13.86. The main objective of Guild Holdings stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Guild Holdings Co is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Guild Holdings' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Guild Holdings stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Guild Holdings' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Guild Holdings Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Guild Stock Analysis Notes

About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guild Holdings recorded a loss per share of 1.54. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of May 2024. Guild Holdings Company, a mortgage company, originates, sells, and services residential mortgage loans in the United States. The company was incorporated in 1960 and is headquartered in San Diego, California. Guild Holdings operates under Mortgage Finance classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 4500 people. To learn more about Guild Holdings Co call Mary McGarry at 858 560 6330 or check out https://www.guildmortgage.com.

Guild Holdings Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Guild Holdings' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Guild Holdings Co or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Guild Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guild Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 718.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.21 B.
Guild Holdings Co currently holds about 263.68 M in cash with (91.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.33.
Guild Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 US Growth Stocks With At Least 10 percent Insider Ownership - Simply Wall St

Guild Holdings Upcoming and Recent Events

14th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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14th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Guild Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Guild Holdings' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-08-03
2023-06-300.10.150.0550 
2024-03-12
2023-12-310.140.20.0642 
2024-05-09
2024-03-310.210.13-0.0838 
View All Earnings Estimates

Guild Holdings Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Guild Holdings' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Guild Holdings' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Guild Holdings' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Guild Holdings' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Guild Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-06-30
61.1 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
43.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
42.5 K
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-06-30
40 K
Hightower Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
36.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
20.7 K
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors Llc2024-09-30
18.5 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
10.7 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
9.7 K
Bayview Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.5 M
Adage Capital Partners Gp Llc2024-06-30
797 K
Note, although Guild Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Guild Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 844.74 M.

Guild Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.11) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.29) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.29.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.03)(0.03)

Management Efficiency

The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to -0.02. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to 0.02. At present, Guild Holdings' Net Tangible Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Assets is expected to grow to about 2.8 B, whereas Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to grow to (1.4 B). Guild Holdings' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Guild Holdings manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 19.41  10.86 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(3.10)(2.95)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 21.27  22.34 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.73  1.43 
Enterprise Value Multiple 21.27  22.34 
Price Fair Value 0.73  1.43 
The decision-making processes within Guild Holdings are key to its success in a competitive market. By evaluating these processes, we assess the stock's potential for future gains.
Operating Margin
(0.29)
Profit Margin
(0.11)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0419
Beta
1.1
Return On Assets
(0)

Technical Drivers

As of the 26th of November, Guild Holdings retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.11, standard deviation of 2.26, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09). Guild Holdings technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Guild Holdings information ratio, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis to decide if Guild Holdings is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 13.79 per share. Given that Guild Holdings Co has information ratio of (0.19), we strongly advise you to confirm Guild Holdings's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Guild Holdings Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Guild Holdings middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Guild Holdings. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Guild Holdings Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Guild Holdings insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Guild Holdings' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Guild Holdings insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Guild Holdings Outstanding Bonds

Guild Holdings issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Guild Holdings uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Guild bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Guild Holdings Co has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Guild Holdings Predictive Daily Indicators

Guild Holdings intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Guild Holdings stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Guild Holdings Corporate Filings

13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
10Q
7th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
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8K
6th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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F4
24th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
8th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of July 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
11th of June 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
10th of June 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Guild Holdings Forecast Models

Guild Holdings' time-series forecasting models are one of many Guild Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Guild Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Guild Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Guild Holdings prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Guild shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Guild Holdings. By using and applying Guild Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Guild entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.06)(0.06)
Operating Profit Margin 0.08  0.08 
Net Loss(0.05)(0.05)
Gross Profit Margin 0.94  0.85 

Current Guild Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Guild analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Guild analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
13.86Buy7Odds
Guild Holdings Co current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Guild analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Guild stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Guild Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Guild conference calls.
Guild Analyst Advice Details

Guild Stock Analysis Indicators

Guild Holdings Co stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Guild Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Guild Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Guild Holdings stock analysis, traders can identify Guild Holdings position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow146.8 M
Long Term Debt420.9 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.2 B
Tax Provision11 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net81.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments136.8 M
Cash120.3 M
Accounts Payable32.6 M
Net Debt406.5 M
50 Day M A15.2644
Total Current Liabilities132.4 M
Other Operating Expenses663.9 M
Non Current Assets Total1.5 B
Forward Price Earnings8.4246
Non Currrent Assets Other-1.5 B
Stock Based Compensation8.7 M

Complementary Tools for Guild Stock analysis

When running Guild Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Guild Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guild Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Guild Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guild Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guild Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guild Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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