Guild Holdings Co Stock Performance

GHLD Stock  USD 13.79  0.14  1.03%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.28, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Guild Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Guild Holdings is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Guild Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to check out Guild Holdings' total risk alpha, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Guild Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Guild Holdings Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.88
Five Day Return
(1.29)
Year To Date Return
(3.37)
Ten Year Return
(8.20)
All Time Return
(8.20)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0419
Payout Ratio
0.3759
Dividend Date
2024-06-06
Ex Dividend Date
2024-05-17
1
Acquisition by Mary McGarry of 4998 shares of Guild Holdings at 16.1206 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/13/2024
2
Bridges Investment Management Inc. Acquires New Position in Guild Holdings - MarketBeat
09/20/2024
3
Disposition of 8572 shares by Edward Bryant of Guild Holdings at 10.36 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/26/2024
4
Disposition of 4496 shares by Terry Schmidt of Guild Holdings at 13.83 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/27/2024
5
Guild Holdings Co Q2 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth in Originations and ...
10/09/2024
6
Guild Holdings Co Shares Down 3.02 percent on Oct 14
10/14/2024
7
Disposition of 15715 shares by Desiree Kramer of Guild Holdings at 14.92 subject to Rule 16b-3
10/22/2024
8
Guild Sees Large Volume Increase Still a Buy
10/25/2024
9
Guild Holdings Co Shares Up 3.5 percent on Nov 4
11/04/2024
10
Guild Holdings Company Reports Third Quarter 2024 Results
11/06/2024
11
Guild Holdings Co Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Market Volatility with ...
11/07/2024
12
Guild Holdings Company Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
11/08/2024
13
3 US Growth Stocks With At Least 10 percent Insider Ownership - Simply Wall St
11/19/2024
Begin Period Cash Flow146.8 M
  

Guild Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,592  in Guild Holdings Co on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (213.00) from holding Guild Holdings Co or give up 13.38% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guild Holdings Co is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.1406% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Guild, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Guild Holdings is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 per unit of volatility.

Guild Holdings Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guild Holdings' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Guild Holdings Co, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guild Holdings' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0959

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Negative ReturnsGHLD

Estimated Market Risk

 2.14
  actual daily
19
81% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.21
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.1
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Guild Holdings is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guild Holdings by adding Guild Holdings to a well-diversified portfolio.

Guild Holdings Fundamentals Growth

Guild Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guild Holdings, and Guild Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guild Stock performance.

About Guild Holdings Performance

By analyzing Guild Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Guild Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Guild Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guild Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 0.15  0.14 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.03)(0.03)

Things to note about Guild Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guild Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Guild Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guild Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guild Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 718.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.21 B.
Guild Holdings Co currently holds about 263.68 M in cash with (91.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.33.
Guild Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 US Growth Stocks With At Least 10 percent Insider Ownership - Simply Wall St
Evaluating Guild Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guild Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Guild Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guild Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guild Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guild Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guild Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guild Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Guild Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guild Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guild Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Guild Stock analysis

When running Guild Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Guild Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guild Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Guild Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guild Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guild Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guild Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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