Group 1 Automotive Stock Performance

GPI Stock  USD 325.74  8.64  2.58%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.03, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Group 1 returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Group 1 is expected to follow. At this point, Group 1 Automotive has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to check out Group 1's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and market facilitation index , to decide if Group 1 Automotive performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Group 1 Automotive has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.58)
Five Day Return
(4.90)
Year To Date Return
(17.03)
Ten Year Return
484.18
All Time Return
2.5 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0068
Payout Ratio
0.0504
Forward Dividend Rate
2.2
Dividend Date
2026-03-16
Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-02
 
Group 1 dividend paid on 15th of December 2025
12/15/2025
1
BidItUp Announces Private Treaty Sale of Dexter Stamping Company -- Complete Turnkey Automotive Manufacturing Facility
01/12/2026
2
Massachusetts Financial Services Co. MA Buys Shares of 172,145 Group 1 Automotive, Inc. GPI
01/21/2026
3
Group 1 Automotive Q4 Earnings Snapshot
01/29/2026
4
Group 1 Automotive Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
01/30/2026
5
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Delivers Record Year of Robust Revenue Growth
02/04/2026
6
Toyota Isnt In A Big Rush To Build A Ford Maverick Rival Be Patient
02/06/2026
7
Acquisition by Daniel Mchenry of 2673 shares of Group 1 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/10/2026
8
Acquisition by Daryl Kenningham of 11793 shares of Group 1 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/11/2026
9
Do Options Traders Know Something About GPI Stock We Dont
02/13/2026
10
Does Group 1 Automotives Higher 2026 Dividend Reveal Its True Capital Allocation Priorities
02/17/2026
11
Disposition of 201 shares by Daniel Mchenry of Group 1 at 331.59 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/19/2026
12
We See Group 1 With a Long Growth Runway via Organic and Acquisition Opportunities - Morningstar
02/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow34.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-671.3 M

Group 1 Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  39,987  in Group 1 Automotive on December 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (7,413) from holding Group 1 Automotive or give up 18.54% of portfolio value over 90 days. Group 1 Automotive is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.8282% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Group, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Group 1 is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.43 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.17 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Group 1 Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Group Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 325.74 90 days 325.74 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Group 1 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Group 1 Automotive probability density function shows the probability of Group Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This usually indicates Group 1 Automotive market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Group 1 is expected to follow. Additionally Group 1 Automotive has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Group 1 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Group 1

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Group 1 Automotive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
293.17328.10329.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
293.17400.09401.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
345.22347.05348.88
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
408.19448.56497.90
Details

Group 1 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Group 1 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Group 1's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Group 1 Automotive, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Group 1 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.03
σ
Overall volatility
30.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Group 1 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Group 1 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Group 1 Automotive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Group 1 Automotive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: We See Group 1 With a Long Growth Runway via Organic and Acquisition Opportunities - Morningstar

Group 1 Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Group Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Group 1's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Group 1's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments32.5 M

Group 1 Fundamentals Growth

Group Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Group 1, and Group 1 fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Group Stock performance.

About Group 1 Performance

By evaluating Group 1's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Group 1's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Group 1 has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Group 1 has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 66.30  68.89 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.14  0.18 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.10 

Things to note about Group 1 Automotive performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Group 1 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Group 1 Automotive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Group 1 Automotive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: We See Group 1 With a Long Growth Runway via Organic and Acquisition Opportunities - Morningstar
Evaluating Group 1's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Group 1's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Group 1's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Group 1's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Group 1's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Group 1's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Group 1's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Group 1's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Group 1's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Group 1's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Group 1's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Group 1's price analysis, check to measure Group 1's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Group 1 is operating at the current time. Most of Group 1's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Group 1's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Group 1's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Group 1 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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