Hilltop Holdings Stock Performance

HTH Stock  USD 39.27  0.67  1.74%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Hilltop Holdings holds a performance score of 21. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.58, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Hilltop Holdings' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hilltop Holdings is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Hilltop Holdings' semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Hilltop Holdings' current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Hilltop Holdings are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak basic indicators, Hilltop Holdings demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.27
Five Day Return
(1.92)
Year To Date Return
15.84
Ten Year Return
145.74
All Time Return
106.68
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0188
Payout Ratio
0.361
Forward Dividend Rate
0.74
Dividend Date
2026-02-27
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-13
 
Hilltop Holdings dividend paid on 21st of November 2025
11/21/2025
1
StoneX Group Posts Earnings Results, Misses Expectations By 0.01 EPS
11/24/2025
2
Disposition of 2200 shares by Keith Bornemann of Hilltop Holdings at 35.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2025
3
Disposition of 2468 shares by Thompson Steve B of Hilltop Holdings at 34.14 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/30/2025
4
Acquisition by Jonathan Sobel of 191 shares of Hilltop Holdings at 34.587 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
5
Acquisition by William Furr of tradable shares of Hilltop Holdings at 30.55 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
6
Will Hilltops 2025 Earnings Call and Efficiency Concerns Change Hilltop Holdings Narrative
01/23/2026
7
Hilltop Posts Earnings Results, Beats Expectations By 0.23 EPS
01/30/2026
8
Hilltop Holdings Is Increasing Its Dividend To 0.20
02/02/2026
9
Should Value Investors Buy Hilltop Holdings Stock
02/04/2026
10
Martin Bradley Winges Sells 26,000 Shares of Hilltop Stock
02/05/2026
11
Disposition of 556 shares by Keith Bornemann of Hilltop Holdings at .83 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/06/2026
12
Acquisition by Keith Bornemann of 1662 shares of Hilltop Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
02/11/2026
13
A Look At Hilltop Holdings Valuation After Recent Short Term Share Price Weakness
02/13/2026

Hilltop Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,221  in Hilltop Holdings on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  706.00  from holding Hilltop Holdings or generate 21.92% return on investment over 90 days. Hilltop Holdings is generating 0.333% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.2481% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Hilltop, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Hilltop Holdings is expected to generate 1.62 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.62 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.27 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Hilltop Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Hilltop Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39.27 90 days 39.27 
about 1.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hilltop Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.81 (This Hilltop Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Hilltop Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Hilltop Holdings has a beta of 0.58. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hilltop Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hilltop Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hilltop Holdings has an alpha of 0.204, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hilltop Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hilltop Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hilltop Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hilltop Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.1439.3940.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.3441.5942.84
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.1938.6742.92
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.350.450.51
Details

Hilltop Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hilltop Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hilltop Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hilltop Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hilltop Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
1.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Hilltop Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hilltop Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hilltop Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hilltop Holdings has 1.06 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is OK given its current industry classification. Hilltop Holdings has a current ratio of 0.43, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Hilltop to invest in growth at high rates of return.
About 59.0% of Hilltop Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: A Look At Hilltop Holdings Valuation After Recent Short Term Share Price Weakness

Hilltop Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hilltop Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hilltop Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilltop Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Hilltop Holdings Fundamentals Growth

Hilltop Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hilltop Holdings, and Hilltop Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hilltop Stock performance.

About Hilltop Holdings Performance

By evaluating Hilltop Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Hilltop Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Hilltop Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Hilltop Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.08 

Things to note about Hilltop Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hilltop Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Hilltop Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hilltop Holdings has 1.06 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is OK given its current industry classification. Hilltop Holdings has a current ratio of 0.43, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Hilltop to invest in growth at high rates of return.
About 59.0% of Hilltop Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: A Look At Hilltop Holdings Valuation After Recent Short Term Share Price Weakness
Evaluating Hilltop Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Hilltop Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Hilltop Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hilltop Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Hilltop Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Hilltop Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hilltop Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hilltop Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Hilltop Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Hilltop Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Hilltop Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Hilltop Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Hilltop Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilltop Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Hilltop Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilltop Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilltop Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilltop Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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