Hilltop Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HTH Stock | USD 29.80 0.17 0.57% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hilltop Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Hilltop Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Hilltop Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Hilltop Stock please use our How to Invest in Hilltop Holdings guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hilltop and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hilltop Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
Hilltop |
Execute Hilltop Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Hilltop recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hilltop Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hilltop Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hilltop Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Hilltop Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hilltop Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hilltop Holdings has 656.48 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is OK given its current industry classification. Hilltop Holdings has a current ratio of 0.43, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Hilltop to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 58.0% of Hilltop Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: With 57 percent ownership of the shares, Hilltop Holdings Inc. is heavily dominated by institutional owners |
Hilltop Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hilltop Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hilltop Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hilltop Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hilltop Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hilltop Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hilltop Holdings.
| Mean Return | -0.01 | Value At Risk | -2.23 | Potential Upside | 2.42 | Standard Deviation | 2.00 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hilltop Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hilltop Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | North Reef Capital Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 530 K | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2024-09-30 | 511.3 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 480.6 K | Hodges Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 432.8 K | Jennison Associates Llc | 2024-09-30 | 432.2 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-09-30 | 430.4 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 415.4 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 407.8 K | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 391.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 7.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5.4 M |
Hilltop Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 710.5M | 1.7B | (1.4B) | 268.8M | 309.2M | 324.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 242.7M | 740.9M | 1.2B | 434.5M | 499.7M | 524.7M | |
| Depreciation | 21.9M | 24.6M | 32.6M | 19.6M | 17.7M | 18.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 166.6M | 1.9B | 933.6M | 60.9M | 70.1M | 66.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 37.7M | 24.8M | 9.8M | 8.5M | 7.6M | 7.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.4B | 3.0B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 2.2B | 2.3B | |
| Net Income | 469.7M | 386.1M | 119.3M | 109.6M | 126.1M | 93.1M | |
| Dividends Paid | 32.5M | 39.0M | 43.0M | 41.6M | 47.8M | 50.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | (692.3M) | (792.3M) | 981.3M | 963.8M | 1.1B | 1.2B | |
| Investments | (902.6M) | (552.9M) | (872.0M) | (139.5M) | (125.5M) | (131.8M) | |
| Change Receivables | (338.2M) | 515.1M | (564.4M) | 936.9M | 1.1B | 1.1B | |
| Net Borrowings | 413.0M | (603.6M) | 102.2M | 66.7M | 76.7M | 80.5M |
Hilltop Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hilltop Holdings or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hilltop Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hilltop stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Hilltop Holdings Volatility Alert
Hilltop Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.94 and kurtosis of 12.23. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hilltop Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hilltop Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Hilltop Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hilltop Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hilltop Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hilltop Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hilltop Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hilltop Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hilltop Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hilltop Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hilltop Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0539 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0072 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.75 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 64.96 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 29.03 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 57.96 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.05 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 4.86 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.88 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.65 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.18 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.17 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 24.21 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 109.65 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.71 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 41.91 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 656.48 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.03 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.44 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 33.51 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 443.02 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.86 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.63 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.14 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 34.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 3.65 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.14 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.94 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 16.47 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.19 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (7.07 B) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Keith Bornemann of tradable shares of Hilltop Holdings at 25.77 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Hilltop Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hilltop . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 13346.62 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2024 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 29.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 29.77 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.14 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.17 |
About Hilltop Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hilltop Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Hilltop Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Hilltop Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Hilltop Stock please use our How to Invest in Hilltop Holdings guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hilltop Holdings. If investors know Hilltop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hilltop Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Dividend Share 0.67 | Earnings Share 1.63 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Hilltop Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hilltop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hilltop Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hilltop Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hilltop Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hilltop Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hilltop Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hilltop Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hilltop Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.