Jefferson Capital Common Stock Performance

JCAP Stock  USD 21.96  0.94  4.47%   
Jefferson Capital has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.75, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Jefferson Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Jefferson Capital is expected to be smaller as well. Jefferson Capital Common right now retains a risk of 2.64%. Please check out Jefferson Capital jensen alpha, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if Jefferson Capital will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Jefferson Capital Common are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Jefferson Capital may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.47
Five Day Return
2.71
Year To Date Return
(0.68)
Ten Year Return
18.45
All Time Return
18.45
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0475
Payout Ratio
0.2963
Forward Dividend Rate
0.96
Dividend Date
2025-09-04
Ex Dividend Date
2025-08-25
1
Jefferson Capital Inc Q3 2025 Earnings Report Preview What To Expect
11/12/2025
2
Jefferson Capital, Inc. Q3 Earnings Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
11/13/2025
3
Press Release Jefferson Capital Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results -
11/14/2025
 
Jefferson Capital dividend paid on 4th of December 2025
12/04/2025
5
Certain Common Stock of Jefferson Capital, Inc. are subject to a Lock-Up Agreement Ending on 23-DEC-2025. - marketscreener.com
12/22/2025
6
Jefferson Capital Announces Pricing of Secondary Public Offering and Concurrent Share Repurchase - Yahoo Finance
01/07/2026
7
Disposition of 11000000 shares by Jcf Iv Jcap Holding L.p. of Jefferson Capital at 19.6288 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/09/2026
8
Weil Advised Jefferies and Keefe, Bruyette Woods in Jefferson Capitals 235.75M Follow-On Offering and Concurrent Share Repurchase - Weil
01/12/2026
9
Wednesday Insider Activity Mitsuis 55.6M Berkley Buy Leads the Pack By Investing.com - Investing.com Australia
01/15/2026
10
Jefferson Capital Completes 235.75 Million Follow-On Common Stock Offering and Concurrent Share Repurchase - Global Legal Chronicle
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow20.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-542.4 M

Jefferson Capital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,999  in Jefferson Capital Common on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  197.00  from holding Jefferson Capital Common or generate 9.85% return on investment over 90 days. Jefferson Capital Common is currently generating 0.1862% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.6369% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Jefferson, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Jefferson Capital is expected to generate 3.25 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Jefferson Capital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Jefferson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.96 90 days 21.96 
about 34.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jefferson Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 34.66 (This Jefferson Capital Common probability density function shows the probability of Jefferson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Jefferson Capital has a beta of 0.75. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jefferson Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jefferson Capital Common will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jefferson Capital Common has an alpha of 0.1865, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jefferson Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jefferson Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jefferson Capital Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.3021.9424.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.1821.8224.46
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.610.640.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jefferson Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jefferson Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jefferson Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jefferson Capital Common.

Jefferson Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jefferson Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jefferson Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jefferson Capital Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jefferson Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
1.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Jefferson Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jefferson Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jefferson Capital Common can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Jefferson Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jefferson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jefferson Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jefferson Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding58.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments35.5 M

Jefferson Capital Fundamentals Growth

Jefferson Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Jefferson Capital, and Jefferson Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Jefferson Stock performance.

About Jefferson Capital Performance

Assessing Jefferson Capital's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Jefferson Capital's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Jefferson Capital is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand18.5 K16.4 K
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.14  0.13 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.25  0.26 

Things to note about Jefferson Capital Common performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jefferson Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Jefferson Capital Common help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Jefferson Capital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Jefferson Capital's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Jefferson Capital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Jefferson Capital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Jefferson Capital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Jefferson Capital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Jefferson Capital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Jefferson Capital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Jefferson Capital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Jefferson Capital's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Jefferson Capital's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Jefferson Stock Analysis

When running Jefferson Capital's price analysis, check to measure Jefferson Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jefferson Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Jefferson Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jefferson Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jefferson Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jefferson Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.