Li Auto Stock Performance
| LI Stock | USD 16.63 0.63 3.65% |
The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.11, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Li Auto returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Li Auto is expected to follow. At this point, Li Auto has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to verify Li Auto's jensen alpha, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if Li Auto performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Li Auto has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (3.65) | Five Day Return (0.95) | Year To Date Return (3.59) | Ten Year Return 1.03 | All Time Return 1.03 |
1 | Li Auto beats Q3 topline estimates | 11/26/2025 |
2 | Li Auto Posts Q3 Loss as Deliveries Drop percent YoY | 12/04/2025 |
3 | Qualcomm Turns Physical AI From Buzzword Into Reality | 01/05/2026 |
4 | Do Record Q4 Deliveries and Global Foray Change The Bull Case For Li Auto | 01/06/2026 |
5 | Li Auto Valuation Check After Strong December And Full Year Delivery Update | 01/13/2026 |
6 | Pan American Silver and Conagra Brands have been highlighted as Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day | 01/15/2026 |
7 | EV companies have one big problem countries that cant keep their policy straight, says top BYD exec | 01/20/2026 |
8 | Macquarie Keeps an Underperform Rating on Li Auto Inc. | 01/22/2026 |
9 | Will Margin Strain and Slower EV Rollout Recast Li Autos Competitive Edge in China | 01/26/2026 |
10 | Li Auto Valuation Check After MEGA Delivery Milestone And AI Push | 01/29/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 91.3 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -41.1 B |
Li Auto Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,981 in Li Auto on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (318.00) from holding Li Auto or give up 16.05% of portfolio value over 90 days. Li Auto is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.9583% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 17% of stocks are less risky than Li Auto on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Li Auto Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Li Auto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 16.63 | 90 days | 16.63 | about 80.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Li Auto to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.2 (This Li Auto probability density function shows the probability of Li Auto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This indicates Li Auto market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Li Auto is expected to follow. Additionally Li Auto has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Li Auto Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Li Auto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Li Auto. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Li Auto Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Li Auto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Li Auto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Li Auto, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Li Auto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Li Auto Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Li Auto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Li Auto can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Li Auto generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Li Auto is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Li Auto has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Li Auto Valuation Check After MEGA Delivery Milestone And AI Push |
Li Auto Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Li Auto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Li Auto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Li Auto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 112.8 B |
Li Auto Fundamentals Growth
Li Auto Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Li Auto, and Li Auto fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Li Auto Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0664 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0149 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 5.97 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 835.38 M | |||
| Price To Book | 1.67 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.13 X | |||
| Revenue | 144.52 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 24.82 B | |||
| EBITDA | 12.57 B | |||
| Net Income | 8.03 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 50.44 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 52.18 X | |||
| Total Debt | 16.34 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.25 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 3.25 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 10.35 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 15.93 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.06 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 16.85 B | |||
| Total Asset | 162.35 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 10.92 B | |||
| Working Capital | 57.09 B | |||
About Li Auto Performance
By evaluating Li Auto's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Li Auto's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Li Auto has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Li Auto has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 29.93 | 28.43 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.04 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | 0.14 |
Things to note about Li Auto performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Li Auto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Li Auto help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Li Auto generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Li Auto is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Li Auto has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Li Auto Valuation Check After MEGA Delivery Milestone And AI Push |
- Analyzing Li Auto's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Li Auto's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Li Auto's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Li Auto's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Li Auto's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Li Auto's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Li Auto's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Li Auto Stock analysis
When running Li Auto's price analysis, check to measure Li Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Li Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Li Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Li Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Li Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Li Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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