Li Auto Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| LI Stock | USD 22.59 0.51 2.31% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Li Auto is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Li Auto's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Li Auto Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Li Auto Stock please use our How to Invest in Li Auto guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Li Auto and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Li Auto. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
Li Auto |
Execute Li Auto Buy or Sell Advice
The Li Auto recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Li Auto. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Li Auto or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Li Auto's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Li Auto Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Li Auto generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Li Auto has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Li Auto is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: LI Auto Surges as Sales Rebound and New Company Launches |
Li Auto Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Li Auto's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Li Auto's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Li Auto daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Li Auto price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Li Auto returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Li Auto.
| Mean Return | -0.24 | Value At Risk | -5.56 | Potential Upside | 5.07 | Standard Deviation | 3.54 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Li Auto historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Li Auto Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 1.5 M | Squarepoint Ops Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Bnp Paribas Investment Partners Sa | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 874.9 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 753.1 K | Rwc Asset Management Llp | 2024-09-30 | 714.4 K | Aspex Management (hk) Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 10.6 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 7.7 M |
Li Auto Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (516.9M) | (611.6M) | (5.9B) | (1.2B) | (1.1B) | (1.2B) | |
| Investments | (18.7B) | (4.3B) | (4.4B) | (12.1K) | (13.9K) | (14.6K) | |
| Change In Cash | 8.7B | 20.3B | 9.9B | 50.9B | 58.5B | 61.5B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 2.5B | 4.9B | 2.3B | 44.2B | 50.8B | 53.4B | |
| Depreciation | 321.0M | 590.4M | 1.2B | 1.8B | 2.1B | 2.2B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (202.9M) | 185.5M | 1.2B | 31.2B | 35.9B | 37.7B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 675.2M | 3.4B | 5.1B | 6.5B | 7.5B | 7.9B | |
| Net Income | (166.0M) | (321.5M) | (2.0B) | 11.7B | 13.5B | 14.1B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 10.2B | 30.5B | 40.4B | 91.3B | 105.0B | 110.3B | |
| Change To Netincome | 682.0M | (97.4M) | 8.5B | 9.4B | 10.8B | 11.3B |
Li Auto Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Li Auto or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Li Auto's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Li Auto stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Li Auto Volatility Alert
Li Auto exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.71 and kurtosis of 2.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Li Auto's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Li Auto's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Li Auto Implied Volatility
Li Auto's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Li Auto stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Li Auto's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Li Auto stock will not fluctuate a lot when Li Auto's options are near their expiration.
Li Auto Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Li Auto's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Li Auto's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Li Auto and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Li Auto or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Li Auto's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Li Auto by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Li Auto to competition |
| Fundamentals | Li Auto | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0289 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 10.88 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 883.1 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 9.42 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 30.9 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 2.56 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.17 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 123.85 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 30.47 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 9.21 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 11.7 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 50.44 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 52.18 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 13.55 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.25 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 66.73 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 50.69 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.86 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.31 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.13 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 29.9 | |
| Number Of Employees | 31.59 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.98 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 23.48 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 143.47 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.44 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 41.78 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 143.47 B |
Li Auto Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Li Auto . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 135321.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5426 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 22.63 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 22.62 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.21 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.51 |
About Li Auto Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Li Auto? Buying financial instruments such as Li Auto Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Li Auto Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Li Auto Stock please use our How to Invest in Li Auto guide.You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Li Auto. If investors know Li Auto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Li Auto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Earnings Share 1.31 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.236 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Li Auto is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Li Auto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Li Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Li Auto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Li Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Li Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Li Auto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Li Auto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Li Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.