Li Auto Stock Performance

LI Stock  USD 18.28  0.04  0.22%   
Li Auto has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.24, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Li Auto will likely underperform. Li Auto at this time owns a risk of 2.15%. Please verify Li Auto jensen alpha, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if Li Auto will be following its current price history.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Li Auto are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong forward indicators, Li Auto is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.22)
Five Day Return
(0.16)
Year To Date Return
5.97
Ten Year Return
11.06
All Time Return
11.06
1
Is Li Auto Now an Opportunity After Recent Share Price Weakness
12/10/2025
2
Stock Market Today, Dec. 30 Nio Rallies on Upbeat Q4 Sales Outlook
12/30/2025
3
Li Auto Inc. Sponsored ADR Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market What Investors Need to Know
01/20/2026
4
Freedom Capital Lowers Li Auto Price Target Amid China EV Price War
01/30/2026
5
Assessing Li Auto Valuation After Prolonged Delivery Slump And Major Business Reshuffle
02/02/2026
6
Li Auto Inc. Sponsored ADR Ascends While Market Falls Some Facts to Note
02/04/2026
7
Assessing Li Auto Valuation After January Delivery Slump And Ongoing Competitive Pressure
02/05/2026
8
Li Auto Inc. Sponsored ADR Gains As Market Dips What You Should Know
02/10/2026
9
Li Autos AI Shift And Supercharging Milestone Weighed Against Valuation
02/12/2026
10
Surge Continues to Encounter Robust Lithium Grades Including 31M Intercepts at 4196 PPM Li from Surface in a 640M Step Out to the SE
02/17/2026
11
Li Auto Inc. Expands EV Reach with Supercharging Milestone
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow91.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-41.1 B

Li Auto Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,812  in Li Auto on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  16.00  from holding Li Auto or generate 0.88% return on investment over 90 days. Li Auto is generating 0.037% of daily returns and assumes 2.1499% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 19% of stocks are less risky than Li Auto on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Li Auto is expected to generate 3.01 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.91 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Li Auto Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Li Auto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.28 90 days 18.28 
about 16.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Li Auto to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.99 (This Li Auto probability density function shows the probability of Li Auto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Li Auto will likely underperform. Additionally Li Auto has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Li Auto Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Li Auto

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Li Auto. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1218.2920.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.4520.7022.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.9218.0820.25
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.3823.5026.08
Details

Li Auto Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Li Auto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Li Auto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Li Auto, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Li Auto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Li Auto Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Li Auto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Li Auto can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Li Auto is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Li Auto has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Li Auto Inc. Expands EV Reach with Supercharging Milestone

Li Auto Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Li Auto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Li Auto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Li Auto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments112.8 B

Li Auto Fundamentals Growth

Li Auto Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Li Auto, and Li Auto fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Li Auto Stock performance.

About Li Auto Performance

By evaluating Li Auto's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Li Auto's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Li Auto has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Li Auto has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 29.93  28.43 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.13  0.14 

Things to note about Li Auto performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Li Auto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Li Auto help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Li Auto is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Li Auto has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Li Auto Inc. Expands EV Reach with Supercharging Milestone
Evaluating Li Auto's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Li Auto's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Li Auto's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Li Auto's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Li Auto's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Li Auto's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Li Auto's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Li Auto's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Li Auto's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Li Auto's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Li Auto's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Li Auto Stock analysis

When running Li Auto's price analysis, check to measure Li Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Li Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Li Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Li Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Li Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Li Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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