Morgan Stanley Direct Stock Performance
| MSDL Stock | 16.21 0.02 0.12% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.66, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Morgan Stanley's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Morgan Stanley is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Morgan Stanley Direct has a negative expected return of -0.0173%. Please make sure to verify Morgan Stanley's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Morgan Stanley Direct performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Morgan Stanley Direct has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent fundamental indicators, Morgan Stanley is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.86) | Five Day Return (1.70) | Year To Date Return (1.40) | Ten Year Return (21.37) | All Time Return (21.37) |
1 | Msdl signals continued 0.50 per share dividend with defensive positioning as deal activity accelerates | 11/07/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Frank Bruce D of 600 shares of Morgan Stanley at 16.405 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/10/2025 |
3 | Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund Downgraded by Royal Bank Of Canada to Sector Perform - MarketBeat | 11/28/2025 |
4 | Analysts Offer Insights on Financial Companies Morgan Stanley and Bain Capital Specialty Finance - The Globe and Mail | 12/15/2025 |
5 | Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund Names New Compliance Chief - The Globe and Mail | 12/24/2025 |
6 | Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund Stock Rating Lowered by Wells Fargo Company - MarketBeat | 01/08/2026 |
7 | Responsive Playbooks and the MSDL Inflection - Stock Traders Daily | 01/16/2026 |
8 | Morgan Stanley Executives Sell Shares Worth Over 15 Million - TradingView Track All Markets | 01/22/2026 |
| Morgan Stanley dividend paid on 23rd of January 2026 | 01/23/2026 |
9 | and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily | 01/27/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 69.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -575 M |
Morgan Stanley Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,645 in Morgan Stanley Direct on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (24.00) from holding Morgan Stanley Direct or give up 1.46% of portfolio value over 90 days. Morgan Stanley Direct is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.1761% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 10% of stocks are less volatile than Morgan, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Morgan Stanley Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Morgan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 16.21 | 90 days | 16.21 | about 82.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Morgan Stanley to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.52 (This Morgan Stanley Direct probability density function shows the probability of Morgan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Morgan Stanley has a beta of 0.66. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Morgan Stanley average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Morgan Stanley Direct will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Morgan Stanley Direct has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Morgan Stanley Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Morgan Stanley
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Morgan Stanley Direct. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Morgan Stanley's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Morgan Stanley Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Morgan Stanley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Morgan Stanley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Morgan Stanley Direct, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Morgan Stanley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Morgan Stanley Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Morgan Stanley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Morgan Stanley Direct can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Morgan Stanley generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Morgan Stanley is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Morgan Stanley has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 23rd of January 2026 Morgan Stanley paid 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily |
Morgan Stanley Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Morgan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Morgan Stanley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Morgan Stanley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 70.4 M |
Morgan Stanley Fundamentals Growth
Morgan Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Morgan Stanley, and Morgan Stanley fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Morgan Stock performance.
| Shares Outstanding | 86.81 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.80 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 9.42 X | ||||
| Revenue | 332.52 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 218 M | ||||
| Net Income | 215.56 M | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.97 B | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 201.47 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.65 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.41 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.91 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 29.62 M | ||||
About Morgan Stanley Performance
By examining Morgan Stanley's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Morgan Stanley's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Morgan Stanley is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | 0.26 |
Things to note about Morgan Stanley Direct performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Morgan Stanley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Morgan Stanley Direct help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Morgan Stanley generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Morgan Stanley is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Morgan Stanley has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 23rd of January 2026 Morgan Stanley paid 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily |
- Analyzing Morgan Stanley's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Morgan Stanley's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Morgan Stanley's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Morgan Stanley's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Morgan Stanley's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Morgan Stanley's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Morgan Stanley's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Morgan Stanley Direct. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates. For more information on how to buy Morgan Stock please use our How to buy in Morgan Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Diversified Financial Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Morgan Stanley. Expected growth trajectory for Morgan significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Morgan Stanley assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share 1.65 |
Understanding Morgan Stanley Direct requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Morgan's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Morgan Stanley's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Morgan Stanley's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Morgan Stanley's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Morgan Stanley represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Morgan Stanley's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.