Murphy USA Stock Performance
| MUSA Stock | USD 576.37 -28.15 -4.66% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0100
19 · Constructive
Over the last 90 days, Murphy USA ranks in the bottom 81% of global equities and portfolios on a risk-adjusted return basis. In practice, the ranking separates absolute gains from efficient gains. The recent return profile for Murphy USA shows positive risk-adjusted momentum across the measured horizon. Learn More
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 37,728 in Murphy USA on February 6, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 19,909 , a return of 52.77% over 90 days. Murphy USA is currently generating a 0.7271% daily expected return and carries 2.94% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Murphy USA exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 74% of comparable stocks, and MUSA has trailed 86% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon. Expected Return |
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Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
For Murphy USA Stock, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful forecasting baseline. Investors have relied on this tendency for decades, though persistent mispricings in some instruments suggest additional risk factors.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 576.37 | 90 days | 576.37 | under 4% |
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of Murphy USA moving above the current price in 90 days from now are under 4%. Over this horizon, the return distribution for this stock has leaned toward above-current outcomes historically. (The curve highlights the price band where the market has recently concentrated expectations for Murphy USA Stock over the next 90 days). A narrower shape indicates the market has recently priced Murphy USA Stock into a more concentrated outcome range.
Murphy USA Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Murphy USA
A variety of analytical techniques are available for forecasting Murphy USA and the broader stock market. From technical pattern analysis to statistical models, each method contributes a different perspective on Murphy USA.The mean reversion principle applied to Murphy USA's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Identifying the root cause of Murphy USA's price dislocation is essential before acting on a mean reversion signal.
Primary Risk Indicators
The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the stock market, with Murphy USA experiencing notable price swings. Murphy USA has reflected this volatile environment with periods of significant price swings.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 62.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Alerts and suggestions for Murphy USA give investors a structured way to monitor the stock for material events. Murphy USA alerts cover shifts in fundamentals, technical conditions, and significant market-moving events.| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should Adients New Pro Force Massage Flow Platform Reframe Its Premium Seating Innovation Narrative |
Price Density Drivers
Price behavior in Murphy USA reflects the combined effect of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market sentiment. Reviewing the indicators below provides context for understanding the current drivers of Murphy USA price.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.53 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.9 million |
Murphy USA Fundamentals Growth
Murphy USA Stock performance is fundamentally tied to Murphy USA's financial health and growth outlook. Investors track revenue and earnings growth, margin stability, and balance sheet health for Murphy USA Stock.
| Current Valuation | 13.6 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 18.47 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 28.57 X | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Return quality for Murphy USA evaluates how consistent and repeatable performance has been across periods. Inconsistent returns may indicate sensitivity to regime shifts or concentrated factor exposure. Murphy USA shows ROE of 80.35%, ROA of 11.42% (TTM).
Murphy USA figures are aggregated from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board