Nvr Inc Stock Performance
| NVR Stock | USD 7,518 83.65 1.13% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.59, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, NVR's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding NVR is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, NVR Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0038%. Please make sure to verify NVR's downside variance, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to decide if NVR Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days NVR Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, NVR is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.22 | Five Day Return (0.91) | Year To Date Return 3.38 | Ten Year Return 356.62 | All Time Return 24.7 K |
Last Split Factor 1:30 | Last Split Date 1993-10-01 |
1 | Amundi Increases Stock Position in NVR, Inc. NVR - MarketBeat | 12/08/2025 |
2 | Disposition of tradable shares by Daniel Malzahn of NVR subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/15/2025 |
3 | Disposition of tradable shares by Charles Andrews of NVR subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/16/2025 |
4 | NVR Inc. Stock Outperforms Competitors Despite Losses On The Day - | 01/06/2026 |
5 | Acquisition by Susan Ross of 125 shares of NVR at 1700.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/13/2026 |
6 | Resona Asset Management Co. Ltd. Decreases Stake in NVR, Inc. NVR - MarketBeat | 01/27/2026 |
7 | NVR Delivers Impressive Q4 CY2025 | 01/28/2026 |
8 | A Look At NVR Valuation After Recent Share Price Moves And Mixed Signals From PE And DCF | 01/30/2026 |
9 | NVR Buyback Shrinks Share Base As Earnings And Valuation Come Into Focus | 02/03/2026 |
10 | Disposition of 200 shares by Susan Ross of NVR at 8091.62 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/05/2026 |
11 | NVR, Inc. NVR Shares Sold by Allianz Asset Management GmbH - MarketBeat | 02/09/2026 |
12 | Acquisition by Matthew Kelpy of 500 shares of NVR at 4475.53 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/11/2026 |
13 | How NVRs New US750 Million Buyback Authorization Will Impact NVR Investors | 02/13/2026 |
14 | Insider Selling NVR Director Sells 1,584,412.00 in Stock | 02/17/2026 |
15 | Should NVRs Buybacks And Big Housing Bet Shape A New Capital Playbook For NVR Investors | 02/23/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 2.7 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -71.2 M |
NVR Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 760,110 in NVR Inc on December 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (8,331) from holding NVR Inc or give up 1.1% of portfolio value over 90 days. NVR Inc is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.6938% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than NVR, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
NVR Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of NVR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 7,518 | 90 days | 7,518 | about 56.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NVR to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 56.99 (This NVR Inc probability density function shows the probability of NVR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
NVR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NVR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NVR Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NVR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NVR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NVR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NVR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NVR Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NVR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 214.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
NVR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NVR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NVR Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NVR Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should NVRs Buybacks And Big Housing Bet Shape A New Capital Playbook For NVR Investors |
NVR Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NVR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NVR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NVR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
NVR Fundamentals Growth
NVR Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NVR, and NVR fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NVR Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.33 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.18 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 20.14 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 2.79 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 18.12 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 5.43 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.04 X | ||||
| Revenue | 10.32 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.39 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.79 B | ||||
| Net Income | 1.34 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.92 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 544.37 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.2 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.33 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 4.70 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1,381 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.12 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 436.78 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 21.35 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 5.86 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 16.39 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 4.2 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.43 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 370.69 M | ||||
About NVR Performance
Assessing NVR's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into NVR's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the NVR is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 79.10 | 62.98 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.23 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.34 | 0.44 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.23 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.35 | 0.41 |
Things to note about NVR Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about NVR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for NVR Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NVR Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should NVRs Buybacks And Big Housing Bet Shape A New Capital Playbook For NVR Investors |
- Analyzing NVR's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NVR's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining NVR's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating NVR's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NVR's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NVR's stock. These opinions can provide insight into NVR's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for NVR Stock Analysis
When running NVR's price analysis, check to measure NVR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NVR is operating at the current time. Most of NVR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NVR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NVR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NVR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.