Nvr Inc Stock Technical Analysis
| NVR Stock | USD 7,624 2.32 0.03% |
As of the 30th of January, NVR secures the Mean Deviation of 1.0, risk adjusted performance of 0.0305, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0563. Concerning fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check available technical drivers of NVR Inc, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify NVR Inc information ratio and downside variance to decide if NVR Inc is priced favorably, providing market reflects its recent price of 7623.76 per share. Given that NVR Inc has jensen alpha of (0), we recommend you to check NVR's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself next year.
NVR Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as NVR, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to NVRNVR's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.NVR Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 8370.5 | Buy | 6 | Odds |
Most NVR analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand NVR stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of NVR Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to NVR conference calls.
Can Household Durables industry sustain growth momentum? Does NVR have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NVR. Anticipated expansion of NVR directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating NVR demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | Earnings Share 436.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets |
Understanding NVR Inc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects NVR's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what NVR's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push NVR's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between NVR's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding NVR should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, NVR's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
NVR 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NVR's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NVR.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in NVR on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NVR Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in NVR over 90 days. NVR is related to or competes with PulteGroup, Darden Restaurants, Li Auto, Toll Brothers, Lennar, Lululemon Athletica, and Restaurant Brands. The company operates in two segments, Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking More
NVR Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NVR's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NVR Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.66 |
NVR Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NVR's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NVR's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NVR historical prices to predict the future NVR's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0305 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0463 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NVR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NVR January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0305 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0563 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2798.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Variance | 1.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0463 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) | |||
| Skewness | 0.6528 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.3245 |
NVR Inc Backtested Returns
Currently, NVR Inc is very steady. NVR Inc has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0994, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0994 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for NVR, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify NVR's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0305, mean deviation of 1.0, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0563 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. NVR has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.81, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, NVR's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding NVR is expected to be smaller as well. NVR Inc presently secures a risk of 1.33%. Please verify NVR Inc total risk alpha, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the Downside Variance and day median price , to decide if NVR Inc will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | 0.63 |
Good predictability
NVR Inc has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NVR time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NVR Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current NVR price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.63 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.79 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 25.2 K |
NVR technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
NVR Inc Technical Analysis
Indicator |
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of NVR Inc volatility developed by Welles Wilder.
About NVR Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of NVR Inc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of NVR Inc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on NVR Inc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding NVR Inc. By analyzing NVR's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of NVR's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to NVR specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 1.11 | 1.13 | 1.3 | 1.21 | PTB Ratio | 5.19 | 6.04 | 5.44 | 3.32 |
NVR January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of NVR help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NVR from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze NVR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0305 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0563 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2798.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Variance | 1.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0463 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) | |||
| Skewness | 0.6528 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.3245 |
NVR January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NVR stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 7,624 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 7,624 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.16) |
Additional Tools for NVR Stock Analysis
When running NVR's price analysis, check to measure NVR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NVR is operating at the current time. Most of NVR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NVR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NVR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NVR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.