Nvr Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NVR Stock | USD 8,947 53.47 0.59% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding NVR Inc is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell NVR Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards NVR. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for NVR Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out NVR Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NVR and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. NVR Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
NVR |
Execute NVR Buy or Sell Advice
The NVR recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NVR Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NVR Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NVR's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
NVR Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| NVR Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NVR Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: NVR Insiders Sold US7.8m Of Shares Suggesting Hesitancy |
NVR Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of NVR's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NVR's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NVR daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NVR Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NVR returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NVR.
| Mean Return | 0.05 | Value At Risk | -1.93 | Potential Upside | 2.09 | Standard Deviation | 1.36 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NVR historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
NVR Stock Institutional Investors
The NVR's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase NVR's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Diamond Hill Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 39 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 36.9 K | Smead Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 36.2 K | Jennison Associates Llc | 2024-09-30 | 35.5 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 33.6 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 33.4 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 30.8 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 29.1 K | Thrivent Financial For Lutherans | 2024-09-30 | 28.7 K | International Assets Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 363 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 341.3 K |
NVR Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (94.2M) | (362.4M) | (238.3M) | 159.1M | (161.9M) | (153.8M) | |
| Change In Cash | 428.6M | 1.6B | (172.8M) | (62.5M) | 641.2M | 673.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 843.8M | 909.2M | 1.2B | 1.9B | 1.5B | 1.5B | |
| Depreciation | 20.8M | 22.0M | 19.5M | 17.4M | 16.9M | 16.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (26.4M) | 54.8M | 95.2M | 67.8M | 45.4M | 47.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 274.0M | 180.9M | 142.4M | 196.7M | 250.5M | 149.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 22.7M | 16.1M | 17.9M | 18.4M | 24.9M | 14.5M | |
| Net Income | 878.5M | 901.2M | 1.2B | 1.7B | 1.6B | 1.7B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.2B | 2.8B | 2.6B | 2.6B | 3.2B | 3.4B | |
| Investments | 7.5M | 11.2M | (1.3M) | (9.7M) | (24.1M) | (22.9M) | |
| Change Receivables | 2.8M | (1.7M) | 2.0M | (27.4M) | (24.6M) | (23.4M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 48.0M | 88.0M | 153.2M | 139.3M | 160.2M | 168.2M |
NVR Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NVR or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NVR's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NVR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0007 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
NVR Volatility Alert
NVR Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.09 and kurtosis of -0.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NVR's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NVR's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.NVR Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing NVR's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NVR's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NVR and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NVR or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NVR's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NVR by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare NVR to competition |
| Fundamentals | NVR | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.39 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.2 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.16 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 26.15 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.06 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.84 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 84.70 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 52.37 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 18.12 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 6.42 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.67 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 9.53 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.82 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.97 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.59 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.52 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 544.37 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.01 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.33 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.70 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1,394 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.5 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.25 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 488.70 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 4.89 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 9623.33 | |
| Number Of Employees | 6.3 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.2 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 27.57 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.6 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 13.37 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.53 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 400 shares by Matthew Kelpy of NVR at 9450.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
NVR Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NVR . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 610.8 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.21) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9043.63 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9011.26 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0113 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (123.83) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (53.47) |
About NVR Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell NVR Inc? Buying financial instruments such as NVR Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for NVR Stock Analysis
When running NVR's price analysis, check to measure NVR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NVR is operating at the current time. Most of NVR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NVR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NVR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NVR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.