Organigram Holdings Stock Performance

OGI Stock  USD 1.50  0.08  5.06%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.61, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, OrganiGram Holdings' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding OrganiGram Holdings is expected to be smaller as well. OrganiGram Holdings right now holds a risk of 4.14%. Please check OrganiGram Holdings total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if OrganiGram Holdings will be following its historical price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days OrganiGram Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, OrganiGram Holdings is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow98 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-59.4 M

OrganiGram Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  153.00  in OrganiGram Holdings on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3.00) from holding OrganiGram Holdings or give up 1.96% of portfolio value over 90 days. OrganiGram Holdings is generating 0.0494% of daily returns assuming volatility of 4.141% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 37% of stocks are less volatile than OrganiGram, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon OrganiGram Holdings is expected to generate 1.66 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.49 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

OrganiGram Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of OrganiGram Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.50 90 days 1.50 
about 87.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OrganiGram Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.35 (This OrganiGram Holdings probability density function shows the probability of OrganiGram Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon OrganiGram Holdings has a beta of 0.61. This indicates as returns on the market go up, OrganiGram Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding OrganiGram Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally OrganiGram Holdings has an alpha of 0.0113, implying that it can generate a 0.0113 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   OrganiGram Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OrganiGram Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OrganiGram Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.505.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.385.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.615.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.511.641.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as OrganiGram Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against OrganiGram Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, OrganiGram Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in OrganiGram Holdings.

OrganiGram Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OrganiGram Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OrganiGram Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OrganiGram Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OrganiGram Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.0015

OrganiGram Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OrganiGram Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OrganiGram Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OrganiGram Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
OrganiGram Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 186.09 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (24.76 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 90.22 M.
OrganiGram Holdings has about 127.36 M in cash with (4.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.41.
Roughly 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

OrganiGram Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OrganiGram Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OrganiGram Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OrganiGram Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding127.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments60.6 M

OrganiGram Holdings Fundamentals Growth

OrganiGram Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of OrganiGram Holdings, and OrganiGram Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on OrganiGram Stock performance.

About OrganiGram Holdings Performance

By evaluating OrganiGram Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into OrganiGram Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if OrganiGram Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if OrganiGram Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Organigram Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, produces and sells cannabis and cannabis-derived products in Canada. Organigram Holdings Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Moncton, Canada. Organigram Hlds is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about OrganiGram Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about OrganiGram Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for OrganiGram Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OrganiGram Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
OrganiGram Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 186.09 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (24.76 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 90.22 M.
OrganiGram Holdings has about 127.36 M in cash with (4.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.41.
Roughly 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating OrganiGram Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate OrganiGram Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing OrganiGram Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether OrganiGram Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining OrganiGram Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating OrganiGram Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of OrganiGram Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of OrganiGram Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into OrganiGram Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating OrganiGram Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact OrganiGram Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for OrganiGram Stock analysis

When running OrganiGram Holdings' price analysis, check to measure OrganiGram Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OrganiGram Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of OrganiGram Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OrganiGram Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OrganiGram Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OrganiGram Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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