Orchid Island Capital Stock Performance

ORC Stock  USD 7.59  0.01  0.13%   
Orchid Island has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 0.27, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Orchid Island's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Orchid Island is expected to be smaller as well. Orchid Island Capital right now holds a risk of 1.26%. Please check Orchid Island Capital downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Orchid Island Capital will be following its historical price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Orchid Island Capital are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating basic indicators, Orchid Island may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.13
Five Day Return
0.53
Year To Date Return
2.99
Ten Year Return
(83.59)
All Time Return
(89.74)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.19
Payout Ratio
0.6914
Last Split Factor
1:5
Forward Dividend Rate
1.44
Dividend Date
2026-03-30
 
Orchid Island dividend paid on 26th of November 2025
11/26/2025
1
Acquisition by Ava Parker of 1615 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
2
3 Risky Dividend Stocks To Sell
12/08/2025
 
Orchid Island dividend paid on 30th of December 2025
12/30/2025
3
Orchid Island Capital Announces January 2026 Monthly Dividend and Fourth Quarter 2025 Results Announcement Dates
01/07/2026
 
Orchid Island dividend paid on 29th of January 2026
01/29/2026
5
Orchid Island Dividend Payouts Could Limit Book Value Growth, Says Compass Point
01/30/2026
6
Orchid Island Capitals 2025 Earnings Surge Reshapes Risk Reward Profile
02/02/2026
7
Bimini Capital Management to Announce Fourth Quarter 2025 Results
02/06/2026
8
Orchid Island Capital declares 0.12 dividend
02/11/2026
9
How Do Investors Really Feel About Orchid Island Capital Inc - Benzinga
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow335.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.4 B

Orchid Island Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  695.00  in Orchid Island Capital on November 26, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  64.00  from holding Orchid Island Capital or generate 9.21% return on investment over 90 days. Orchid Island Capital is generating 0.1572% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.2583% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Orchid, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Orchid Island is expected to generate 1.65 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.65 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Orchid Island Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Orchid Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.59 90 days 7.59 
about 30.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orchid Island to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 30.02 (This Orchid Island Capital probability density function shows the probability of Orchid Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Orchid Island has a beta of 0.27. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Orchid Island average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Orchid Island Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Orchid Island Capital has an alpha of 0.1384, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Orchid Island Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Orchid Island

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orchid Island Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.297.538.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.297.538.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.597.839.07
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.837.508.33
Details

Orchid Island Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orchid Island is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orchid Island's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orchid Island Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orchid Island within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Orchid Island Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orchid Island for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orchid Island Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orchid Island Capital has 10.24 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.51, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Orchid Island Capital has a current ratio of 0.12, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Orchid to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Orchid Island has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 29th of January 2026 Orchid Island paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Do Investors Really Feel About Orchid Island Capital Inc - Benzinga

Orchid Island Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orchid Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orchid Island's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orchid Island's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding128.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments724.6 M

Orchid Island Fundamentals Growth

Orchid Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Orchid Island, and Orchid Island fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Orchid Stock performance.

About Orchid Island Performance

By analyzing Orchid Island's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Orchid Island's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Orchid Island has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Orchid Island has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand(362.34)(380.46)
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.11  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.12 

Things to note about Orchid Island Capital performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Orchid Island for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Orchid Island Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orchid Island Capital has 10.24 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.51, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Orchid Island Capital has a current ratio of 0.12, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Orchid to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Orchid Island has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 29th of January 2026 Orchid Island paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Do Investors Really Feel About Orchid Island Capital Inc - Benzinga
Evaluating Orchid Island's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Orchid Island's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Orchid Island's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Orchid Island's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Orchid Island's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Orchid Island's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Orchid Island's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Orchid Island's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Orchid Island's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Orchid Island's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Orchid Island's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Orchid Stock analysis

When running Orchid Island's price analysis, check to measure Orchid Island's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orchid Island is operating at the current time. Most of Orchid Island's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orchid Island's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orchid Island's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orchid Island to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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