Orchid Island Capital Stock Analysis

ORC Stock  USD 7.88  0.09  1.13%   
Orchid Island Capital is fairly valued with Real Value of 8.13 and Target Price of 9.5. The main objective of Orchid Island stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Orchid Island Capital is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Orchid Island's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Orchid Island stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Orchid Island's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Orchid Island Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Orchid Stock Analysis Notes

About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.02. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Orchid Island Capital last dividend was issued on the 31st of January 2025. The entity had 1:5 split on the 31st of August 2022. Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities in the United States. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida. Orchid Island is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. To find out more about Orchid Island Capital contact Robert Cauley at 772 231 1400 or learn more at https://www.orchidislandcapital.com.

Orchid Island Capital Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Orchid Island's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Orchid Island Capital or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Orchid Island Capital has 3.71 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.51, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Orchid Island Capital has a current ratio of 0.12, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Orchid to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 154.93 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (39.23 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 72.36 M.
Orchid Island has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 31st of January 2025 Orchid Island paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Orchid Island Capital Beware The High Yield Trap - Seeking Alpha

Orchid Island Capital Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Orchid Island previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
1st of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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25th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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1st of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Orchid Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Orchid Island's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-07-25
2024-06-30-0.07-0.08-0.0114 
2024-10-24
2024-09-30-0.07-0.050.0228 
2024-04-25
2024-03-31-0.09-0.12-0.0333 
View All Earnings Estimates

Orchid Island Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Orchid Island's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Orchid Island's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Orchid Island's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Orchid Island's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Orchid Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
464 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
462.8 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
399 K
Truemark Investments Llc2024-09-30
308.9 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
306.1 K
Cetera Investment Advisers2024-09-30
207.2 K
Castleknight Management Lp2024-09-30
199.7 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
191.8 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
171.2 K
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
6.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
3.8 M
Note, although Orchid Island's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Orchid Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 666.76 M.

Orchid Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.78 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.8 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.8 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.10)(0.10)

Management Efficiency

Orchid Island Capital has Return on Asset of 0.0109 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0109 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1055 %, implying that it generated $0.1055 on every 100 dollars invested. Orchid Island's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Orchid Island manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of January 31, 2025, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.01. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.06. At present, Orchid Island's Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Assets is expected to grow to about 296.7 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 9.47  9.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 9.47  9.00 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(113.72)(108.04)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.92  0.88 
Enterprise Value Multiple(113.72)(108.04)
Price Fair Value 0.92  0.88 
Enterprise Value3.5 B1.9 B
The strategic initiatives led by Orchid Island's management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Dividend Yield
0.1807
Operating Margin
0.8023
Profit Margin
0.7827
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1807
Beta
1.856

Technical Drivers

As of the 31st of January, Orchid Island holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0789, coefficient of variation of 1077.08, and Semi Deviation of 0.9103. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Orchid Island, as well as the relationship between them.

Orchid Island Capital Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was fourty-four with a total number of output elements of seventeen. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Orchid Island middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Orchid Island Capital. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Orchid Island Capital Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Orchid Island insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Orchid Island's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Orchid Island insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Orchid Island Outstanding Bonds

Orchid Island issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Orchid Island Capital uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Orchid bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Orchid Island Capital has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Orchid Island Predictive Daily Indicators

Orchid Island intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Orchid Island stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Orchid Island Corporate Filings

8K
30th of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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8K
8th of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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F4
3rd of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
26th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
10th of December 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
29th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
13th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify

Orchid Island Forecast Models

Orchid Island's time-series forecasting models are one of many Orchid Island's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Orchid Island's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Orchid Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Orchid Island prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Orchid shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Orchid Island. By using and applying Orchid Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Orchid entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.23)(0.22)
Operating Profit Margin 0.74  0.78 
Net Loss(0.23)(0.22)
Gross Profit Margin 1.07  0.88 

Current Orchid Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Orchid analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Orchid analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
9.5Buy4Odds
Orchid Island Capital current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Orchid analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Orchid stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Orchid Island Capital, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Orchid conference calls.
Orchid Analyst Advice Details

Orchid Stock Analysis Indicators

Orchid Island Capital stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Orchid Island stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Orchid Island shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Orchid Island stock analysis, traders can identify Orchid Island position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow237.2 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity469.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y3.179
Cash And Short Term Investments178.3 M
Cash171.9 M
Accounts Payable7.9 M
Net Debt3.5 B
50 Day M A7.8824
Total Current Liabilities3.8 B
Other Operating Expenses20.7 M
Non Current Assets Total3.9 B
Forward Price Earnings34.2466
Non Currrent Assets Other3.8 B
Stock Based Compensation1.2 M

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When running Orchid Island's price analysis, check to measure Orchid Island's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orchid Island is operating at the current time. Most of Orchid Island's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orchid Island's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orchid Island's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orchid Island to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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