Orchid Island Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ORC Stock | USD 8.77 0.21 2.45% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Orchid Island Capital is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Orchid Island buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ORC positions.
Check out Orchid Island Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Orchid and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Orchid Island Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Orchid |
Execute Orchid Island Buy or Sell Advice
The Orchid recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Orchid Island Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Orchid Island Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Orchid Island's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Excited | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Orchid Island Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Orchid Island Capital has 3.71 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.51, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Orchid Island Capital has a current ratio of 0.12, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Orchid to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 154.93 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (39.23 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 37.66 M. | |
| Orchid Island has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 30th of January 2025 Orchid Island paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Orchid Island Capital, Inc. Among the Best Stocks That Pay Monthly Dividends in 2025 |
Orchid Island Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Orchid Island's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Orchid Island's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Orchid Island daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Orchid Island Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Orchid Island returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Orchid Island.
| Mean Return | 0.23 | Value At Risk | -1.56 | Potential Upside | 1.93 | Standard Deviation | 1.15 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Orchid Island historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Orchid Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 462.8 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 399 K | Truemark Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 308.9 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 306.1 K | Cetera Investment Advisers | 2024-09-30 | 207.2 K | Castleknight Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 199.7 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-09-30 | 191.8 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 177.9 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 171.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 6.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.8 M |
Orchid Island Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 20.9M | 150.9M | (213.2M) | (36.9M) | (33.2M) | (31.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 55.4M | 96.4M | 289.4M | 8.0M | 9.2M | 8.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 58.1M | 168.6M | 531.0M | 50.3M | 57.9M | 87.9M | |
| Net Income | 2.1M | (64.8M) | (258.5M) | (39.2M) | (35.3M) | (37.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 299.5M | 450.4M | 237.2M | 200.3M | 230.3M | 163.2M | |
| Investments | (199.3M) | (3.0B) | (3.5B) | (1.4B) | (1.3B) | (1.4B) | |
| Change Receivables | 837K | 2.7M | (9.1M) | 7.3M | 8.4M | 8.9M | |
| Dividends Paid | 53.6M | 91.0M | 93.5M | 80.8M | 92.9M | 55.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 18.3M | 58.4M | (34.6M) | 531.7M | 611.4M | 642.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | 423.1M | 147.5M | 2.6B | (2.9B) | (2.6B) | (2.5B) |
Orchid Island Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Orchid Island or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Orchid Island's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Orchid stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Orchid Island Volatility Alert
Orchid Island Capital has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 1.69, Maximum Drawdown of 6.76 and kurtosis of 6.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Orchid Island's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Orchid Island's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Orchid Island Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Orchid Island's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Orchid Island's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Orchid Island and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Orchid Island or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Orchid Island's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orchid Island by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Orchid Island to competition |
| Fundamentals | Orchid Island | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0662 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0075 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.69 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.56 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.41 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 93.29 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.22 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 30.60 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.25 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 12.17 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.22 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 15.04 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 154.93 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 37.66 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 162.69 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (39.23 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 205.65 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 11.84 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.71 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 7.51 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.12 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 8.09 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 8 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.17 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.57 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 9.5 | |
| Beta | 1.84 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 818.18 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.26 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (380.43 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (1.91 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 79.12 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 1.99 B | 7.9 B |
Note: Acquisition by Paula Morabito of 3213 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Orchid Island Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Orchid . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Orchid Island Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Orchid Island Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Orchid Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Orchid Island in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Orchid Island Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orchid Island. If investors know Orchid will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orchid Island listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | Dividend Share 1.44 | Earnings Share 0.57 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.68) |
The market value of Orchid Island Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orchid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orchid Island's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orchid Island's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orchid Island's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orchid Island's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orchid Island's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orchid Island is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orchid Island's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.