Penumbra Stock Performance

PEN Stock  USD 341.84  1.92  0.56%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Penumbra holds a performance score of 14. The company holds a Beta of 0.4, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Penumbra's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Penumbra is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Penumbra's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Penumbra's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Penumbra are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak technical and fundamental indicators, Penumbra displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.52)
Five Day Return
(5.08)
Year To Date Return
9.86
Ten Year Return
648.89
All Time Return
723.05
Last Split Factor
1:10
Last Split Date
2014-11-16
1
Acquisition by Johanna Roberts of 3580 shares of Penumbra subject to Rule 16b-3
11/17/2025
2
Penumbra Director Harpreet Grewal Sells 100 Shares
12/04/2025
3
Needham raises Penumbra stock price target to 388 on growth outlook - Investing.com Nigeria
12/17/2025
4
Why Penumbra is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term
01/12/2026
5
Penumbra, Inc. Provides Preliminary Update on Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results
01/15/2026
6
Penumbra Climbs to All-Time High on 14.5-Billion Merger
01/16/2026
7
3 takeaways from Boston Scientifics 14.5B Penumbra deal
01/20/2026
8
Lance Uranium Reset Signals New Phase for Peninsula Energy
01/22/2026
9
Boston Scientific Penumbra Deal Recasts Growth Prospects In Thrombectomy And Neurovascular
01/23/2026
10
Peninsula Energy Valuation Check As Lance Reset Progresses Ahead Of Schedule
01/26/2026
11
Boston Scientific Buyout Caps Penumbra Upside And Shifts Investor Focus
01/27/2026
12
Boston Scientific Earnings Transcript
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow167.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities77.6 M

Penumbra Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  26,619  in Penumbra on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7,373  from holding Penumbra or generate 27.7% return on investment over 90 days. Penumbra is generating 0.4352% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.3698% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Penumbra, and above 92% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Penumbra is expected to generate 3.15 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.15 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Penumbra Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Penumbra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 341.84 90 days 341.84 
about 15.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Penumbra to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.21 (This Penumbra probability density function shows the probability of Penumbra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Penumbra has a beta of 0.4 indicating as returns on the market go up, Penumbra average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Penumbra will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Penumbra has an alpha of 0.5984, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Penumbra Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Penumbra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Penumbra. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Penumbra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
339.59341.96344.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
305.93366.89369.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
331.20333.57335.94
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
317.17348.53386.87
Details

Penumbra Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Penumbra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Penumbra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Penumbra, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Penumbra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
34.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Penumbra Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Penumbra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Penumbra can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Boston Scientific Earnings Transcript

Penumbra Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Penumbra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Penumbra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Penumbra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments340.1 M

Penumbra Fundamentals Growth

Penumbra Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Penumbra, and Penumbra fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Penumbra Stock performance.

About Penumbra Performance

By examining Penumbra's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Penumbra's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Penumbra is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 303.93  262.60 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.01  0.01 

Things to note about Penumbra performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Penumbra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Penumbra help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Boston Scientific Earnings Transcript
Evaluating Penumbra's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Penumbra's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Penumbra's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Penumbra's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Penumbra's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Penumbra's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Penumbra's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Penumbra's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Penumbra's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Penumbra's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Penumbra's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Penumbra offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Penumbra's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Penumbra Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Penumbra Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Penumbra. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.
To learn how to invest in Penumbra Stock, please use our How to Invest in Penumbra guide.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Penumbra diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penumbra. Anticipated expansion of Penumbra directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Penumbra data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.56
Earnings Share
4.2
Revenue Per Share
34.444
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.178
Return On Assets
0.067
Investors evaluate Penumbra using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Penumbra's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Penumbra's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Penumbra's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Penumbra should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Penumbra's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.